Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3a0c78c0969ca40c2c23655cebf8065aa2fb61fba347b4cd832ae0d6e52e0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb7e…0ba8backed Yes | 71c | 150,000$106,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…debebacked No | 29c | 149,970$43,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,491.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 1c | 23,358$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.58 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 29c | 5,570$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.06 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.95 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 76c | 3,951$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.75 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 73c | 3,623$2,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.28 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 27c | 3,400$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.96 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 69c | 3,071$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.01 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…7553backed No | 24c | 2,724$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 44c | 2,611$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.88 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 77c | 2,576$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.47 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…3900backed Yes | 59c | 2,512$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 30c | 2,242$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.92 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 71c | 2,240$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.79 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 1,918$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.54 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 71c | 1,744$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 69c | 1,731$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.46 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 27c | 1,554$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 29c | 1,339$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.27 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62dd…869abacked Yes | 71c | 1,295$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 29c | 1,230$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.38 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed No | 31c | 1,114$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 38c | 899.86$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.96 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Yes | 69c | 869.56$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Yes | 76c | 796.67$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.07 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 57c | 755.12$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.7 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…f4f2backed No | 30c | 698.39$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…ddfdbacked No | 31c | 663.69$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…fda8backed No | 33c | 630.42$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.04 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 68c | 576.9$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.84 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 29c | 572.28$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.53 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 68c | 550$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…366bbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 67c | 486.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.71 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 43c | 461.14$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes | 69c | 444$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…d4b4backed Yes | 71c | 440.17$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…fa35backed Yes | 71c | 422.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 16c | 408.78$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…a56ebacked Yes | 65c | 403.84$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbc…bb1abacked Yes | 72c | 359.37$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…a272backed Yes | 72c | 349.14$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…5a12backed No | 30c | 343.24$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…2014backed Yes | 71c | 342$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…a12fbacked No | 31c | 327$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 69c | 318.64$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 28c | 273.45$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 72c | 257.69$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 71c | 249.26$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 78c | 225$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 24c | 211.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.65 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…95ffbacked No | 31c | 210.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a2…ed63backed No | 29c | 202.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed No | 30c | 202.18$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…4507backed No | 31c | 200.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…1b4cbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54c…7ceabacked Yes | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.18 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…9efcbacked No | 30c | 195.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 191.82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…cff3backed Yes | 71c | 190.4$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…33adbacked No | 29c | 181.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…0defbacked Yes | 63c | 181.84$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…23a6backed No | 30c | 176.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 31c | 164.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…ece6backed No | 31c | 162.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 57c | 154.26$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…d717backed Yes | 62c | 145.11$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…4c09backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f1…f229backed Yes | 72c | 130.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…b0debacked No | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…7fb6backed No | 32c | 129.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…dcc8backed Yes | 72c | 126.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Yes | 72c | 126.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Yes | 57c | 124.88$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f44…6b77backed Yes | 71c | 122.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…e413backed Yes | 71c | 117.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Yes | 70c | 103.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 29c | 103.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed No | 30c | 103.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 71c | 102.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-01-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.