NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4111ceafb7a38320c08d3afc0400373750fbc1b0b20102da9d4b7a4ec080721d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,797,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,981,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,797,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 511 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Grizzlies | 20c | 117,528$23,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,554.53 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Grizzlies | 21c | 114,089$23,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,958.76 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Grizzlies | 24c | 69,456$16,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,461.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Thunder | 79c | 53,500$42,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,320 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Thunder | 41c | 52,500$21,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,899.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 40c | 49,079$19,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,601.13 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Thunder | 56c | 47,113$26,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,927.32 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Grizzlies | 20c | 40,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Grizzlies | 0c | 32,436$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 28,025$13,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,471.93 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 23,629$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.56 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Grizzlies | 66c | 22,279$14,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,702.72 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8114…93b0backed Grizzlies | 21c | 21,256$4,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 32c | 21,241$6,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,773.8 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Thunder | 76c | 20,088$15,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.43 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Thunder | 31c | 19,994$6,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,876.42 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Grizzlies | 44c | 19,345$8,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,566.5 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Thunder | 80c | 18,388$14,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.86 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Thunder | 63c | 18,205$11,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,740.91 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Thunder | 78c | 17,479$13,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,824.23 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Thunder | 79c | 17,248$13,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.16 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Thunder | 79c | 15,522$12,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,194 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Thunder | 54c | 14,181$7,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,548.36 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 13,215$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.72 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…98ebbacked Thunder | 79c | 12,903$10,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 11,744$6,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,802.14 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…c0e6backed Thunder | 72c | 11,602$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,302.02 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 11,527$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.87 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Thunder | 80c | 11,177$8,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Thunder | 60c | 11,163$6,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,446.99 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Thunder | 46c | 10,746$4,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.81 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Thunder | 69c | 10,743$7,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.32 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6205…7bbebacked Thunder | 50c | 10,215$5,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Grizzlies | 7c | 10,121$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.75 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Thunder | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Thunder | 23c | 9,792$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,539.94 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed Thunder | 78c | 9,437$7,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.08 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 70c | 8,409$5,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.86 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 23c | 7,731$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.21 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Thunder | 73c | 7,550$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 7,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Grizzlies | 66c | 7,283$4,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,802.45 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Thunder | 57c | 7,064$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.64 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Thunder | 79c | 6,700$5,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.05 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 49c | 6,487$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.95 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Grizzlies | 71c | 6,485$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,573.64 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Thunder | 79c | 6,472$5,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.69 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 6,296$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.23 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 21c | 5,884$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.27 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…4513backed Grizzlies | 22c | 5,864$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Grizzlies | 71c | 5,120$3,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,634.98 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Thunder | 75c | 5,042$3,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.64 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder | 54c | 4,767$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.66 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Thunder | 69c | 4,446$3,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.71 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Thunder | 79c | 4,233$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.34 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 4,013$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.79 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Thunder | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 27c | 3,648$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.49 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…d282backed Thunder | 72c | 3,617$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Thunder | 34c | 3,538$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.58 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Grizzlies | 46c | 3,444$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.17 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Grizzlies | 60c | 3,337$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 2,912$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.9 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaad5…ac2ebacked Grizzlies | 34c | 2,900$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Thunder | 53c | 2,700$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.85 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Thunder | 29c | 2,677$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.47 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b7…c9b5backed Thunder | 72c | 2,643$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.6 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Thunder | 42c | 2,570$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.6 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Thunder | 72c | 2,540$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.28 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Grizzlies | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Grizzlies | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Thunder | 74c | 2,437$1,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.14 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed Thunder | 43c | 2,331$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Grizzlies | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Thunder | 70c | 2,300$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.35 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Grizzlies | 20c | 2,300$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 49c | 2,238$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.31 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…b01fbacked Thunder | 17c | 2,218$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Grizzlies | 20c | 2,200$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed Grizzlies | 21c | 2,154$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.38 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Grizzlies | 24c | 2,152$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.46 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Thunder | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.86 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Thunder | 72c | 2,000$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.09 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Thunder | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Thunder | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed Thunder | 50c | 1,959$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.7 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Thunder | 48c | 1,927$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,884$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.41 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Thunder | 17c | 1,778$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.44 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…1db7backed Thunder | 79c | 1,763$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Thunder | 51c | 1,758$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.46 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265d…5329backed Thunder | 75c | 1,732$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.52 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3375…a8d8backed Thunder | 46c | 1,723$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.98 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,605$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Thunder | 78c | 1,602$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.53 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…8ff3backed Thunder | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Grizzlies | 26c | 1,591$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.35 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,585$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.