NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b7dbd99e76d412efc3d67fe64d213a107931fb9b15a066518ad78c378eea44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Rockets | 32c | 61,513$19,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,988.07 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Nuggets | 68c | 23,580$15,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,645.74 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 12c | 19,883$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.91 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Nuggets | 68c | 19,815$13,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,387.75 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockets | 13c | 12,479$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.08 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockets | 23c | 8,328$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.07 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Rockets | 15c | 6,211$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.13 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Rockets | 29c | 5,551$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.65 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nuggets | 72c | 5,340$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.01 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Nuggets | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Rockets | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6099backed Nuggets | 70c | 4,887$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 73c | 4,518$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.88 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rockets | 33c | 4,362$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Rockets | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Rockets | 15c | 3,980$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.7 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nuggets | 69c | 3,932$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.63 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…ec88backed Rockets | 25c | 3,146$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.37 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 33c | 3,051$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.14 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets | 35c | 2,550$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.64 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Rockets | 22c | 2,499$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.82 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 16c | 2,475$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.99 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Rockets | 13c | 2,294$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.19 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Nuggets | 69c | 2,034$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.49 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockets | 28c | 2,023$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.48 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 14c | 2,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Nuggets | 70c | 1,990$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 72c | 1,807$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.54 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 67c | 1,800$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.63 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rockets | 27c | 1,797$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.53 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Nuggets | 76c | 1,550$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.5 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockets | 1c | 1,510$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rockets | 21c | 1,393$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,157$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.03 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 23c | 1,071$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,064$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.72 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Rockets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Rockets | 34c | 881.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Nuggets | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 69c | 796.63$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.47 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 77c | 787.5$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Nuggets | 71c | 776.44$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.09 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Nuggets | 68c | 773.71$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.71 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…e458backed Rockets | 27c | 751.31$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe51…3982backed Nuggets | 65c | 700$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Rockets | 11c | 643.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nuggets | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 28c | 569.98$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nuggets | 71c | 518.89$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.54 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3a…aad9backed Rockets | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nuggets | 78c | 511.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 278 | 48.9%136 W · 142 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rockets | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Rockets | 25c | 477.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rockets | 26c | 477$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.73 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rockets | 3c | 464.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rockets | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Rockets | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…8466backed Nuggets | 78c | 422.07$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 22c | 410$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.23 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Rockets | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 75c | 396.23$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd447…f42cbacked Nuggets | 65c | 395.38$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.38 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Rockets | 20c | 393.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Nuggets | 67c | 385.03$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Rockets | 22c | 373$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe266…7f63backed Rockets | 22c | 350$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Nuggets | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Rockets | 30c | 294.89$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Nuggets | 68c | 275.83$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Rockets | 14c | 250$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Rockets | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Nuggets | 69c | 247.98$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 210 | 62.9%132 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nuggets | 75c | 244$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Rockets | 14c | 238$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 67c | 233$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Nuggets | 68c | 233$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rockets | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Nuggets | 77c | 221.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Nuggets | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41e…2dfcbacked Nuggets | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 208 | 47.6%99 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Nuggets | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…5243backed Rockets | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad3…7044backed Rockets | 33c | 191.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ef…b238backed Rockets | 33c | 185.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 27c | 184.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…799abacked Rockets | 22c | 177.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Rockets | 11c | 165$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Nuggets | 76c | 153.23$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02e…88d5backed Nuggets | 68c | 146.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…ebd6backed Nuggets | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Rockets | 13c | 125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Nuggets | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 849 | 57.6%489 W · 360 L | -52.1wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Rockets | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Rockets | 33c | 105.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba6…09eabacked Rockets | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Nuggets | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Nuggets | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.