TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Texans vs. Titans

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texansof Texans, Titans
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$806,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,105,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 768 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xad3e…4422backed Texans41c100,000$40,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,075.653650%18 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Titans28c74,688$20,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,715.221833.3%6 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a2…6af8backed Texans72c73,991$53,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,553.212570.4%88 W · 37 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked Titans54c60,494$32,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,915.247041.4%29 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Titans54c31,194$16,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,753.6244246.8%207 W · 235 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Titans47c25,000$11,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,749.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Texans48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,400450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Texans44c19,650$8,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,003.974755.3%26 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Titans34c16,465$5,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.4360049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Titans62c13,981$8,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,667.953551.4%18 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Texans44c13,569$5,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,601.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Titans62c13,449$8,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,338.433426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-46.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc365…f1f5backed Texans53c12,932$6,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,115.51977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Titans35c11,843$4,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,161.2231848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Titans48c11,501$5,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,528.8539754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94dc…c779backed Texans50c10,302$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,191.187853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Texans46c10,249$4,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,516.9411139.6%44 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Titans46c10,144$4,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,716.089645.8%44 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf99…0bd4backed Texans49c10,034$4,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,117.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce28…a046backed Titans51c10,034$5,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,117.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0054…7f85backed Titans35c8,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8003743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079a…3ef8backed Titans48c6,476$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.051145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Titans59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,54024738.1%94 W · 153 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f9…2aa8backed Texans70c5,718$4,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.5829059.7%173 W · 117 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3c…11d0backed Titans48c5,184$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2317…c891backed Texans65c4,950$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.55650%28 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Texans46c4,000$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,16010334%35 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Titans51c3,989$2,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.6128556.5%161 W · 124 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Titans38c3,961$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.4922638.9%88 W · 138 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Titans50c3,833$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.7514022.9%32 W · 108 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd182…941ebacked Texans49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9370…107abacked Titans51c3,576$1,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Titans47c3,324$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.1210345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Texans69c3,007$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.035472.2%39 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc44…ae30backed Titans52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79cf…1db8backed Texans49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Titans50c2,914$1,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.3136246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Titans44c2,784$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.0528447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f53…07f4backed Titans29c2,718$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7851283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+58.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd1cb…3accbacked Texans48c2,674$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.72268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Texans45c2,500$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,37535848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Titans11c2,482$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.194746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Texans50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick63cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Titans50c2,000$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.2819543.6%85 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Titans48c1,935$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.956134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Titans53c1,886$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.35728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Texans47c1,664$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.528953.9%48 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…79c6backed Texans48c1,613$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.718855.7%49 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Texans72c1,600$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45430743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b26…8640backed Texans67c1,544$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.431855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Texans50c1,528$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.2610738.3%41 W · 66 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Titans52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78023850.8%121 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Titans4c1,404$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.14311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Texans50c1,342$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.5910763.6%68 W · 39 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…f42dbacked Texans56c1,308$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.6920733.8%70 W · 137 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Titans24c1,264$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004323.3%10 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec41…2c24backed Titans52c1,239$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aee…4b3fbacked Texans48c1,223$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5e…5d34backed Titans52c1,180$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick61cpaid-51.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3ed…3588backed Titans52c1,138$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Texans48c1,111$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.721471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+43.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1225…f70cbacked Titans52c1,089$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Texans45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5506956.5%39 W · 30 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Texans48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52033047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Titans50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…0825backed Titans47c976$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.727037.1%26 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcece…dc07backed Texans50c967.82$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.051735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3723…6a4cbacked Titans52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Titans55c935.99$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.793652.8%19 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43dd…5291backed Texans52c920.75$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.153036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Titans6c857.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.871013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7691…dfc0backed Texans50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006947.8%33 W · 36 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55f…c3d6backed Texans63c800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2962751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Titans52c798.16$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.8728337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Texans63c739.02$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.423557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa3…dc66backed Texans43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3992245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83e2…ce08backed Titans14c690.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Titans58c681.35$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.1715556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5bf…7851backed Titans38c665.77$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c5…fc5ebacked Titans54c630.33$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.382673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x015d…6f8bbacked Texans48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…794bbacked Texans48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3254447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d22…ec35backed Texans62c600$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2271338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73be…1c5dbacked Texans49c589.25$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Titans52c582.87$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.097541.3%31 W · 44 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb511…01dabacked Texans63c577.24$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.583080%24 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf93…bdc8backed Texans80c575.67$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.677768.8%53 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4205…46a7backed Titans54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Titans66c546.28$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.0710842.6%46 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Titans54c500$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2697071.4%50 W · 20 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x444e…01d0backed Texans45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2753650%18 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Texans45c499.99$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27738459.9%230 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texans46c499.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9917558.9%103 W · 72 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Titans52c491.95$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.814334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Titans7c470$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.671128%9 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+413.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Titans57c455.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.1617656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Texans51c444.01$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.5620736.2%75 W · 132 L-13.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Texans48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.678339.8%33 W · 50 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c88…0333backed Texans48c404.17$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Titans35c400$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.