Us Midterms · resolved market
Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57dc89d2f5803961a1c72add5969c2887f9591821d05421f2819fa17b664dd59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,556,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,584,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,556,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 638 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 55c | 83,781$46,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,413.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1171backed Yes | 55c | 47,924$26,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,357.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 38c | 35,736$13,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,433.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 52c | 32,000$16,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,579.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 57c | 31,849$18,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,591.33 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 51c | 27,131$13,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,235.11 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 49c | 22,415$11,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,047.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…406abacked Yes | 53c | 22,020$11,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,329.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e41…f050backed Yes | 55c | 21,453$11,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,721.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd2…c21bbacked Yes | 48c | 21,000$10,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,870 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…0adbbacked Yes | 53c | 20,311$10,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,479.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 52c | 20,200$10,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,696.88 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…27c2backed Yes | 52c | 16,190$8,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,732.06 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed Yes | 59c | 15,882$9,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,528.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…f6bebacked Yes | 46c | 14,502$6,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,803.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79d…0203backed Yes | 52c | 13,473$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,472.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed Yes | 62c | 12,948$7,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,977.35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 55c | 12,804$7,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 44c | 12,482$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…72d4backed Yes | 52c | 12,036$6,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe12…3093backed Yes | 51c | 11,364$5,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,560.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 49c | 11,168$5,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,442.08 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…205cbacked No | 42c | 11,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…38cfbacked No | 50c | 10,847$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…c30ebacked Yes | 50c | 10,847$5,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,423.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…d3a9backed No | 50c | 10,692$5,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,345.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebe…5e03backed No | 50c | 10,605$5,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,302.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…173abacked Yes | 50c | 10,496$5,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caa…d4f7backed Yes | 50c | 10,425$5,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,212.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1188…f4adbacked No | 50c | 10,298$5,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc066…672dbacked Yes | 50c | 10,294$5,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb2…1f6cbacked No | 49c | 10,258$5,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,026.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…cf55backed No | 50c | 10,187$5,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,093.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe319…8f82backed Yes | 50c | 10,173$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…bffebacked Yes | 50c | 10,130$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,065.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…7920backed Yes | 50c | 10,112$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b47…2f60backed No | 50c | 10,108$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,053.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…9a22backed No | 50c | 10,099$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,049.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3c…8e95backed No | 50c | 10,098$5,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,048.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0357backed Yes | 50c | 10,066$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…37debacked Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,529.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…50bebacked Yes | 51c | 9,828$5,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,815.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 54c | 9,824$5,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,339.69 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 72c | 9,692$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.96 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…7948backed Yes | 51c | 9,542$4,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 52c | 9,371$4,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,872.75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 52c | 8,500$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 63c | 7,842$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba20…28b8backed No | 39c | 7,760$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 49c | 7,676$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.03 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed No | 38c | 7,375$2,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 62c | 7,124$4,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.19 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 54c | 7,014$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250.71 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579c…d88dbacked Yes | 53c | 6,755$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a65…acf4backed Yes | 51c | 6,221$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 54c | 6,104$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.4 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…28ccbacked No | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed Yes | 51c | 5,963$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,935.77 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 61c | 5,961$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.91 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…7f64backed Yes | 51c | 5,943$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb367…3f7cbacked No | 41c | 5,750$2,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,357.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 52c | 5,660$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.65 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c322backed No | 40c | 5,622$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…3d8abacked Yes | 48c | 5,582$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e9…67c3backed Yes | 49c | 5,339$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.52 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…01adbacked Yes | 45c | 5,326$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…e390backed Yes | 49c | 5,244$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Yes | 51c | 5,176$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.43 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x776d…2088backed Yes | 49c | 5,102$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…8c31backed Yes | 52c | 5,083$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69df…bc1ebacked Yes | 48c | 5,001$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed No | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47e…5d1ebacked Yes | 50c | 4,897$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 43c | 4,864$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.41 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked No | 6c | 4,750$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked No | 40c | 4,540$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed Yes | 73c | 4,475$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 49c | 4,285$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.15 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 46c | 4,257$1,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.49 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 45c | 4,022$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.77 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed No | 44c | 3,825$1,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa492…d2fdbacked Yes | 55c | 3,700$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e7…0a64backed Yes | 51c | 3,509$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed No | 51c | 3,500$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.89 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 47c | 3,334$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 24c | 3,327$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.64 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked Yes | 59c | 3,307$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…5929backed Yes | 43c | 3,185$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…ea99backed Yes | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,150%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…a1c9backed Yes | 58c | 2,900$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…01c0backed Yes | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4b…f229backed Yes | 63c | 2,876$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,750$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,653$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…c114backed Yes | 50c | 2,583$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 49c | 2,537$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.92 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed Yes | 41c | 2,526$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.45 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?this page
- Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?No won
- Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.