Us Midterms · resolved market
Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6e7131f295407c7f56304d6a368a3b98ec280e162bfb38537da392305b202cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,006,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,006,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 467 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 194,521$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.52 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Yes | 0c | 166,058$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7e…a2a8backed Yes | 0c | 101,820$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…6af4backed Yes | 0c | 101,807$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…0218backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87a…7a5bbacked Yes | 0c | 97,052$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fd…d169backed Yes | 0c | 96,927$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 0c | 94,999$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b1…f953backed Yes | 0c | 75,379$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 57,368$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…dba2backed Yes | 0c | 54,114$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca8…2a45backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa123…a6e7backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4945…4c4dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9c…b505backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5f…1454backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca90…811ebacked Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58f…e787backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…49c2backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…d98fbacked Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…49e6backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb30b…2af1backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…2503backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…4d07backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…46bebacked Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…2235backed Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…0e5dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,278$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…3d91backed Yes | 0c | 52,045$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…9c5ebacked Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a40…13bebacked Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639c…dcd7backed Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c23…b2a8backed Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ff…0b31backed Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…e576backed Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…2f7ebacked Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…feb2backed Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…bb36backed Yes | 0c | 51,990$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…59babacked Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa428…5f09backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x264e…dc8abacked Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…7608backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97a…dff4backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…c9e5backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…1153backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d3…f1c1backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1499…264dbacked Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd22…24d3backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…7520backed Yes | 0c | 51,986$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…4bf4backed Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…3d08backed Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2473…da9ebacked Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…7978backed Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…b268backed Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5847…b159backed Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6f…7396backed Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7f…be71backed Yes | 0c | 51,952$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…6b5cbacked Yes | 0c | 51,950$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6412…98f4backed Yes | 0c | 51,937$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…8a5ebacked Yes | 0c | 51,937$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7033…c63ebacked Yes | 0c | 51,937$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…6ae2backed Yes | 0c | 51,937$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…a19cbacked Yes | 0c | 51,800$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…4b6fbacked Yes | 0c | 51,352$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5a…3352backed Yes | 0c | 51,352$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…b47bbacked Yes | 0c | 51,352$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4773…e9d0backed Yes | 0c | 51,252$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc879…fbbebacked Yes | 0c | 51,252$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…c2c9backed Yes | 0c | 51,013$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…cd00backed Yes | 0c | 50,937$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf71…3fbcbacked Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…c6a5backed Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d7…3f97backed Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…d0f4backed Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…f9bfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…5d8abacked Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…da1bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68c…8880backed Yes | 0c | 50,910$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…96b3backed Yes | 0c | 50,903$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…8d95backed Yes | 0c | 50,903$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63fb…2719backed Yes | 0c | 50,903$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…61a1backed Yes | 0c | 50,903$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5918…e34fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,903$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc997…a138backed Yes | 0c | 50,198$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca1…4d8ebacked Yes | 0c | 48,786$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dca…3a5cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,786$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…2457backed Yes | 0c | 48,786$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…7bf9backed Yes | 0c | 48,589$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…f07bbacked Yes | 0c | 48,589$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…c1abbacked Yes | 0c | 48,589$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…1b45backed Yes | 0c | 48,589$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…cc0fbacked Yes | 0c | 48,589$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…a89abacked Yes | 0c | 48,584$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0eb…59c8backed Yes | 0c | 48,584$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…a6a7backed Yes | 0c | 48,584$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5300…bef9backed Yes | 0c | 48,576$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a0…e0c2backed Yes | 0c | 48,561$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…9a49backed Yes | 0c | 48,561$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…f57abacked Yes | 0c | 48,561$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6e…7b6ebacked Yes | 0c | 48,561$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…7767backed Yes | 0c | 48,561$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?this page
- Will a Democrat win Ohio US Senate Election?No won
- Will a Republican win Ohio US Senate Election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.