College Football · resolved market
Notre Dame vs. USC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96fadcfb782023401c1058b562ad61052c52c95a81a44e1198fe37c24535a3ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dameof Notre Dame, USC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,973
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Notre Dame | 76c | 25,968$19,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,321.79 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…c545backed USC | 26c | 16,903$4,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed USC | 0c | 8,109$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked USC | 2c | 5,700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed USC | 9c | 2,815$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.29 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…d9ebbacked USC | 21c | 2,476$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed USC | 32c | 2,101$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.27 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed USC | 32c | 1,963$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.67 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Notre Dame | 74c | 1,353$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.09 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed USC | 1c | 1,009$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed USC | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Notre Dame | 72c | 874.18$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.77 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Notre Dame | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed Notre Dame | 69c | 800$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked USC | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…136fbacked USC | 32c | 781.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…aa3bbacked Notre Dame | 70c | 714.3$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed Notre Dame | 69c | 675.37$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Notre Dame | 71c | 513.21$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked USC | 22c | 450$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Notre Dame | 70c | 434.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.13 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4b…fe27backed USC | 19c | 425$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked USC | 31c | 350$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Notre Dame | 73c | 336.59$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed USC | 30c | 332.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed USC | 31c | 325$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1b…9397backed USC | 32c | 313.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…43f6backed USC | 24c | 233.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Notre Dame | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Notre Dame | 73c | 185.6$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2df2…29cebacked USC | 16c | 161.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03e3…08e0backed Notre Dame | 70c | 137.4$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb386…4941backed Notre Dame | 73c | 136.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…cb78backed USC | 38c | 130.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked USC | 16c | 125.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed USC | 24c | 123.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked USC | 27c | 122.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Notre Dame | 71c | 101.89$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…f184backed USC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Notre Dame | 74c | 88.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Notre Dame | 78c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Notre Dame | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.3 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed USC | 31c | 79.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3669…bf59backed USC | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed USC | 19c | 66.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Notre Dame | 71c | 63.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…d91bbacked USC | 37c | 54.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Notre Dame | 69c | 50.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed USC | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a3afbacked USC | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba4…1f1dbacked Notre Dame | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…757abacked USC | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…3628backed Notre Dame | 78c | 25.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Notre Dame | 76c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…aaffbacked Notre Dame | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed Notre Dame | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Notre Dame | 74c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb541…947fbacked Notre Dame | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.