NFL · resolved market
Will the Lions win the NFC North?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a61a89ba142099ad5e17fe716753506b6af738eedac6d2e04a5b40e214aa67d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 45c | 8,360$3,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,759.24 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 43c | 5,015$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.38 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd95…99f2backed Yes | 41c | 3,496$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.63 | 157 | 22.3%35 W · 122 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 1c | 2,928$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 48c | 1,892$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.31 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes | 46c | 1,818$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.86 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 54c | 1,781$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.01 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…afffbacked No | 59c | 1,276$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.71 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Yes | 59c | 1,120$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.22 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes | 55c | 1,100$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 46c | 1,025$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.31 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 63c | 999.59$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.45 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Yes | 38c | 780.25$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 38c | 752.47$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.28 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 55c | 730.36$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.66 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Yes | 41c | 720$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.6 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed No | 29c | 600$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 73c | 586.79$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.1 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 47c | 570.11$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.93 | 120 | 22.5%27 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked No | 54c | 534$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.26 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 52c | 505.94$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.09 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…7f80backed Yes | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 26c | 471.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 54c | 467.88$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 224 | 34.4%77 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Yes | 49c | 292.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 4c | 278.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 58c | 268.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 56c | 265.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.14 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3200…d8c8backed Yes | 44c | 233.11$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f53…1081backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc395…5c8cbacked Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…45e9backed Yes | 41c | 179.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…63d5backed Yes | 56c | 178.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…7602backed Yes | 71c | 174.34$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 68c | 170.98$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 283 | 37.8%107 W · 176 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9903backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 79c | 155.11$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed Yes | 38c | 150$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…54ebbacked Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b36…acebbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc035…ec07backed Yes | 76c | 131.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…fbc2backed Yes | 41c | 130$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…43d6backed Yes | 41c | 128.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f33…5ff1backed Yes | 79c | 126.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…37fdbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d333backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 31c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 30c | 113.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 153 | 32%49 W · 104 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…ba9bbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 209 | 50.7%106 W · 103 L | -15.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…2b79backed No | 43c | 94.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 55c | 90.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…ebd2backed Yes | 59c | 76.4$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Yes | 77c | 75.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…19b8backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…3039backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed No | 34c | 68.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…88e7backed Yes | 54c | 65.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 53c | 57.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…54bdbacked Yes | 43c | 56.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea04…b8c2backed Yes | 58c | 56.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…04a6backed Yes | 49c | 56.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 72c | 55.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…0213backed Yes | 40c | 55.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 40c | 50.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c74…d2d4backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cd…eccbbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Yes | 74c | 47.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 90 | 72.2%65 W · 25 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…5d7fbacked Yes | 56c | 42.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Yes | 63c | 41.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaab7…9875backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…723abacked Yes | 47c | 31.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1452backed Yes | 48c | 29.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…e3d5backed No | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…75cfbacked No | 42c | 26.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb519…ffdebacked Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…7576backed Yes | 80c | 14.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Lions win the NFC North?this page
- Will the Bears win the NFC North?No won
- Will the Packers win the NFC North?No won
- Will the Vikings win the NFC North?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.