World Politics · resolved market
NHL 4 Nations: Canada vs. USA
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec365a66dea3afefb0bc9141cba656b7f7eaa09378cf2f4d556249400f72329c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- USAof Canada, USA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked USA | 54c | 5,500$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canada | 44c | 4,247$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed USA | 50c | 3,120$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed USA | 64c | 2,500$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed USA | 51c | 2,039$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canada | 51c | 1,953$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canada | 51c | 1,942$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Canada | 43c | 1,910$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked USA | 48c | 1,851$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.54 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed USA | 50c | 1,738$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed USA | 51c | 1,600$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked USA | 48c | 1,399$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Canada | 51c | 1,274$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…fc14backed Canada | 5c | 1,215$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked USA | 49c | 1,150$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Canada | 51c | 1,134$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.21 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…fbdcbacked USA | 50c | 1,011$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Canada | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked USA | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Canada | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Canada | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Canada | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Canada | 51c | 943.14$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed USA | 50c | 924.7$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…d5dabacked Canada | 52c | 870.9$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked USA | 49c | 765$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked USA | 49c | 764.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed USA | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Canada | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 51cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canada | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…16fbbacked USA | 49c | 573.85$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Canada | 21c | 528.91$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1100…0060backed USA | 48c | 518.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Canada | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked USA | 49c | 433$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…fb35backed Canada | 51c | 402.32$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4a…15c7backed USA | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Canada | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Canada | 52c | 369.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…4602backed Canada | 52c | 369.2$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaac1…93c7backed USA | 52c | 362.86$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…1ddabacked USA | 45c | 350$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…6ed4backed Canada | 52c | 320.83$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…4e12backed Canada | 52c | 273.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…b45dbacked Canada | 52c | 257.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e1…e922backed Canada | 52c | 256.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…ea51backed Canada | 36c | 249.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked USA | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…bb83backed Canada | 52c | 201.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed USA | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Canada | 51c | 197.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1354…318ebacked Canada | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Canada | 53c | 190.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed USA | 51c | 169.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Canada | 52c | 160.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d52…c840backed Canada | 60c | 151.7$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed USA | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…03f2backed Canada | 67c | 148.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Canada | 50c | 147$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Canada | 35c | 145$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…779cbacked USA | 75c | 137.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Canada | 50c | 121.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…c4adbacked Canada | 34c | 117.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e1…22bfbacked Canada | 54c | 113.44$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed USA | 50c | 108.77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed USA | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed USA | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…c1cfbacked Canada | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1953…9e2ebacked Canada | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed USA | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5945…ac63backed USA | 50c | 98.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed USA | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked USA | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed Canada | 52c | 97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Canada | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5a…a3a4backed Canada | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c30…6429backed USA | 49c | 90.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…0464backed Canada | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbf…de7bbacked USA | 52c | 86.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Canada | 51c | 83.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Canada | 50c | 75.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Canada | 49c | 71.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed USA | 51c | 65.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf97c…5cbabacked Canada | 45c | 64.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Canada | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 23cpaid | +249.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Canada | 52c | 47.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f36…2305backed Canada | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9146…293abacked USA | 50c | 41.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf746…9ac7backed Canada | 68c | 40.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed USA | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9367…f92cbacked Canada | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…8b10backed Canada | 50c | 38.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…e279backed Canada | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…64f5backed Canada | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d12…4bc0backed Canada | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e9…ba9abacked USA | 51c | 31.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…3289backed USA | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd380…62d6backed Canada | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…0dcdbacked Canada | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…d01fbacked USA | 50c | 20.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.