TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes73c27,023$19,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,207.6314156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No29c25,509$7,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,354.578750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No27c12,593$3,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,405.2440254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No30c7,642$2,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,316.1932037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yes70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5001968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.953060%18 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No29c4,411$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.1138649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No29c4,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9941437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes71c3,380$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.285740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe324…9189backed Yes71c3,132$2,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.172642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No22c2,789$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.5919743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Yes73c2,732$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.471546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes80c2,655$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.664264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No30c2,458$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.5413547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No32c2,050$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…2af6backed No30c1,930$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No28c1,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No11c1,500$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1635131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62dd…869abacked Yes71c1,485$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.7771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes68c1,429$967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0917837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes71c1,231$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.652356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2c6…5fc0backed No28c1,218$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No29c1,199$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.515337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No28c1,133$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7983459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes71c1,047$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.634052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8682…6bccbacked No29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No10c995.45$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7437841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes68c895.34$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.5140640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe486…2d23backed Yes71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.071442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Yes72c834.79$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.792450%12 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes71c712.68$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.682948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2311638.8%45 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes70c666.8$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.811855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No24c523$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.715636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Yes69c519.94$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.18955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick71cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Yes69c500$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f36…f85abacked Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No30c499.96$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.4990751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked No27c433.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1194555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes72c418.39$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.399037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes71c366.56$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5611052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No28c366.32$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6356158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No5c361.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4966031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes79c359.64$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1121153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes72c350$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9842755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe695…7493backed Yes69c321.97$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.81944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed No31c315$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.652450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No13c308.7$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4338645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x047b…ef6fbacked Yes71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7113449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dce…a350backed No30c284.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00e…3e0dbacked Yes72c278.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.33540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d00…d4b4backed Yes72c236.5$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.22785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No28c213.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8460557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc792…28bbbacked No30c211.34$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No30c210.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8837652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe060…fda8backed Yes71c207.83$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.518155.6%45 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f38…5c66backed No30c187.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2708…a502backed No30c183.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Yes71c169.02$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0226054.2%141 W · 119 L+1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes71c164.66$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.756152.5%32 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x746f…2014backed Yes72c158$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.241070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked No31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Yes71c150$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.894445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes68c149.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.999747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55a7…74a1backed Yes70c149.12$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b98…1d7bbacked No32c144.96$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c8…0656backed Yes71c143.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a1…0fbebacked Yes72c143.47$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3f4…752abacked No29c142.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…3d88backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.859436.2%34 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x263c…04cdbacked Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6dd…065abacked Yes71c139.41$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x152f…cc4ebacked Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f74…8760backed Yes71c116.72$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No29c116$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9459958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No29c114.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.940135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd691…bf03backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeef1…16bebacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+110.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914450.7%73 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…0220backed Yes72c99.54$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3210341.7%43 W · 60 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb71a…a01bbacked Yes70c90.44$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.13580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes69c90$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69348.4%45 W · 48 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed Yes72c83.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3317146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf8…0290backed Yes75c82.28$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d8…f9c5backed Yes73c81.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.084663%29 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3466…17ffbacked Yes71c76.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af0…c929backed Yes69c76.72$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.783100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e9d…062cbacked Yes71c76.58$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb018…8f4bbacked Yes70c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8bff…e03abacked Yes72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a78…8ed1backed Yes69c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75ab…8c6abacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10db…5365backed Yes69c71.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.011553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes72c70.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8342862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91f2…6b1fbacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba86…a66abacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.424156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.