College Football · resolved market
Alabama vs. Michigan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2b61bb8e7f3994c88ed8fac42e8e87afc4f96797c74c460a48746bf3c98285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michiganof Alabama, Michigan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $298,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $306,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Michigan | 11c | 86,420$9,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,913.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Alabama | 61c | 16,894$10,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,324.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Michigan | 39c | 12,829$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,826.57 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Alabama | 35c | 10,361$3,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,669.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Alabama | 42c | 5,719$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Michigan | 48c | 5,619$2,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.33 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Michigan | 42c | 4,740$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.39 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Michigan | 22c | 4,165$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,242.9 | 190 | 43.2%82 W · 108 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Michigan | 14c | 3,497$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.9 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Michigan | 12c | 3,209$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Michigan | 64c | 3,129$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc217…df9ebacked Alabama | 39c | 2,413$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Alabama | 29c | 2,190$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.92 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Michigan | 72c | 2,094$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.45 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…618fbacked Michigan | 13c | 2,042$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Michigan | 16c | 1,795$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.87 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…e0a1backed Michigan | 72c | 1,704$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Alabama | 36c | 1,612$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Alabama | 73c | 1,603$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.1 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Michigan | 59c | 1,600$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.48 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Michigan | 19c | 1,538$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Michigan | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Michigan | 51c | 1,485$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Michigan | 55c | 1,475$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Alabama | 80c | 1,440$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Michigan | 43c | 1,407$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.41 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Michigan | 40c | 1,292$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.38 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x385f…54bdbacked Michigan | 40c | 1,280$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01f9…699dbacked Michigan | 32c | 1,254$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Michigan | 14c | 1,236$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…f55ebacked Michigan | 13c | 1,216$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Michigan | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…b14abacked Alabama | 74c | 1,081$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3988…c78cbacked Michigan | 16c | 1,075$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +543.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Michigan | 41c | 1,073$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Michigan | 15c | 1,069$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.65 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Michigan | 34c | 1,047$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.25 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Alabama | 75c | 1,002$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.16 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Michigan | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Alabama | 71c | 999.99$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.49 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Michigan | 70c | 994.39$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.39 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb7…1f0abacked Michigan | 12c | 899.98$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Alabama | 51c | 880.18$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.09 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Michigan | 35c | 859.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Michigan | 36c | 825.83$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.01 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Michigan | 61c | 819.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Michigan | 52c | 805.91$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.12 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed Michigan | 45c | 779.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Michigan | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.23 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Alabama | 59c | 760.41$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.33 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Alabama | 69c | 700$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Michigan | 68c | 694.9$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Alabama | 54c | 687.99$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.52 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e32abacked Michigan | 15c | 666.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Michigan | 14c | 650$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Michigan | 28c | 612.53$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.29 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…935dbacked Michigan | 57c | 601.85$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Alabama | 49c | 592.88$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Michigan | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc61e…f76ebacked Michigan | 13c | 566.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +249%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Alabama | 32c | 555.35$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.6 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Michigan | 40c | 542.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…3368backed Michigan | 30c | 497.04$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4baf…b22bbacked Michigan | 43c | 481.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Alabama | 2c | 478$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…7c74backed Michigan | 12c | 474.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +267.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea6…aed7backed Michigan | 34c | 435.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Alabama | 9c | 428$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.84 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…6aa3backed Alabama | 73c | 412.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…51debacked Michigan | 67c | 388.75$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…2930backed Michigan | 13c | 375.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Alabama | 31c | 361.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.38 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Alabama | 50c | 358.78$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8451…a27dbacked Michigan | 13c | 319.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Michigan | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Alabama | 49c | 302.67$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…8f34backed Alabama | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Michigan | 14c | 296.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +84%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…647dbacked Michigan | 15c | 267.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Alabama | 62c | 253.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Alabama | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Michigan | 50c | 238.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483e…2d6bbacked Michigan | 65c | 226.63$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Michigan | 39c | 222.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…04e3backed Alabama | 46c | 220.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alabama | 61c | 209.26$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Michigan | 32c | 206.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.81 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b1…1daabacked Michigan | 14c | 206.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Alabama | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Michigan | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…1379backed Michigan | 14c | 200$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +262.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa728…5a45backed Alabama | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Michigan | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…86babacked Alabama | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Alabama | 60c | 199.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Michigan | 13c | 199.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.97 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ae…3327backed Michigan | 14c | 199.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.94 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…b30abacked Michigan | 27c | 196.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Michigan | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Alabama | 55c | 179.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.