College Football · resolved market
Iowa vs. Iowa State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde47f9805fda3917cdb8fe0f878e47137a25f4a588f8de87681421b57b1dd320
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stateof Iowa, Iowa State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Iowa State | 67c | 56,235$37,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,599.1 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Iowa | 38c | 48,661$18,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,491.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Iowa | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Iowa State | 64c | 25,585$16,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,207.02 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Iowa | 39c | 20,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Iowa State | 62c | 18,204$11,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,989.72 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Iowa | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Iowa | 38c | 8,365$3,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,194.48 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Iowa | 28c | 6,108$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.14 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Iowa State | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa | 39c | 4,487$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.93 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iowa State | 76c | 4,102$3,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.41 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Iowa State | 62c | 3,722$2,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.73 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Iowa | 31c | 3,228$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.59 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iowa | 38c | 3,075$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.76 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Iowa State | 70c | 3,017$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.26 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Iowa | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.98 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…a65ebacked Iowa | 41c | 2,599$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Iowa | 12c | 2,113$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.86 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Iowa | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Iowa | 4c | 1,600$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Iowa State | 61c | 1,582$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.81 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Iowa State | 63c | 1,512$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.63 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa State | 66c | 1,479$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.94 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Iowa | 38c | 1,287$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.98 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Iowa | 39c | 1,061$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.89 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Iowa | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Iowa State | 61c | 891$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Iowa | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Iowa | 37c | 758.19$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.53 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Iowa | 31c | 753.75$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Iowa | 34c | 750$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Iowa | 2c | 709$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Iowa | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa State | 71c | 668.41$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.51 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Iowa State | 62c | 650.29$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Iowa State | 60c | 539.38$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Iowa State | 61c | 524.59$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Iowa | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Iowa State | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Iowa | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa State | 61c | 498.35$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…741dbacked Iowa State | 54c | 495.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa State | 70c | 443$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Iowa State | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…b6e3backed Iowa | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Iowa State | 65c | 325.21$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Iowa | 38c | 311.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.56 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Iowa State | 61c | 271.14$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Iowa | 24c | 270.83$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Iowa State | 69c | 270$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Iowa State | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Iowa | 21c | 200.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Iowa | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Iowa | 24c | 197.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebd…3b11backed Iowa State | 61c | 180$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Iowa State | 74c | 173$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.74 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…2a5fbacked Iowa State | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Iowa State | 59c | 169.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.39 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Iowa State | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…da3bbacked Iowa State | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…d90cbacked Iowa | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…5590backed Iowa State | 55c | 147.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…1e59backed Iowa | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Iowa State | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Iowa State | 74c | 135$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Iowa | 15c | 131.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Iowa | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa962…8978backed Iowa | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06cb…a70abacked Iowa | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Iowa State | 65c | 123.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…1e28backed Iowa | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Iowa | 39c | 108$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Iowa | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…0d9abacked Iowa | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Iowa | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…dd2fbacked Iowa | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Iowa State | 62c | 79.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Iowa | 26c | 78.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Iowa | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Iowa | 38c | 74.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Iowa | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Iowa State | 60c | 66.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…a87cbacked Iowa State | 68c | 65.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…32bbbacked Iowa State | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Iowa State | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcea3…0708backed Iowa | 41c | 61.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Iowa | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Iowa State | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd4…0e71backed Iowa State | 69c | 58.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Iowa | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Iowa | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Iowa State | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed Iowa | 39c | 50.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Iowa | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked Iowa State | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Iowa | 40c | 49.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Iowa | 34c | 47.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Iowa | 42c | 42.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Iowa State | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa vs. Iowa Statethis page
- Iowa vs. Iowa State: O/U 41.5Under won
- Spread: Iowa State (-3.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.