NFL · resolved market
Bengals vs. Packers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc480ad202a02700a20346a1d8f63c2a15a6aae5858ef62d21f2043347d0129e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Packersof Bengals, Packers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,157,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,140,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,157,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bengals | 12c | 694,940$81,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,405.66 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bengals | 12c | 232,393$27,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,814.99 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bengals | 11c | 164,713$17,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,321.48 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bengals | 12c | 100,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bengals | 12c | 41,667$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Bengals | 12c | 40,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Bengals | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Bengals | 10c | 18,112$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.08 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bengals | 8c | 17,518$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.16 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bengals | 11c | 16,655$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.09 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bengals | 9c | 16,116$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.54 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bengals | 11c | 15,134$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.48 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…e12bbacked Bengals | 6c | 12,144$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.52 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Bengals | 6c | 11,506$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.62 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Bengals | 18c | 11,111$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Bengals | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…c877backed Bengals | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Bengals | 11c | 9,722$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.42 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Bengals | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bengals | 0c | 8,603$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…0856backed Bengals | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Bengals | 10c | 7,898$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.85 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Bengals | 1c | 7,214$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Bengals | 10c | 6,559$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.92 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Bengals | 13c | 6,125$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Bengals | 12c | 5,343$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Bengals | 14c | 5,034$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Bengals | 11c | 5,015$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Bengals | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Bengals | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…d026backed Bengals | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf751…dc0fbacked Bengals | 11c | 4,544$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…f4f4backed Bengals | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bengals | 11c | 4,473$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Bengals | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Bengals | 1c | 3,771$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Bengals | 1c | 3,751$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Bengals | 0c | 3,667$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Bengals | 11c | 3,636$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Bengals | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.9 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bengals | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bff…331cbacked Bengals | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Bengals | 8c | 2,475$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Bengals | 8c | 2,336$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Bengals | 11c | 2,273$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…503fbacked Bengals | 7c | 2,224$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e8…2867backed Bengals | 11c | 2,194$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 89 | 10.1%9 W · 80 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…462bbacked Bengals | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Bengals | 12c | 1,952$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Bengals | 1c | 1,950$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 101 | 3%3 W · 98 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bengals | 16c | 1,882$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Bengals | 15c | 1,882$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.3 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…8723backed Bengals | 5c | 1,848$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…8753backed Bengals | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…26febacked Bengals | 11c | 1,809$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…9eefbacked Bengals | 11c | 1,808$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Bengals | 11c | 1,800$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…004ebacked Bengals | 7c | 1,800$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 148 | 18.2%27 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Bengals | 15c | 1,644$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…4722backed Bengals | 11c | 1,618$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Bengals | 14c | 1,550$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bengals | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Bengals | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…cc16backed Bengals | 15c | 1,401$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.64 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Bengals | 13c | 1,388$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.23 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bengals | 10c | 1,377$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Bengals | 11c | 1,336$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Bengals | 9c | 1,300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Bengals | 16c | 1,271$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Bengals | 10c | 1,212$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.24 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe62b…9d36backed Bengals | 18c | 1,107$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bengals | 10c | 1,080$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Bengals | 10c | 1,060$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Bengals | 13c | 1,000$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Bengals | 12c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bengals | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe97…8e82backed Bengals | 5c | 1,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bengals | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2422backed Bengals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Bengals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Bengals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fb…56cabacked Bengals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…0be3backed Bengals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad4…ff91backed Bengals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…d079backed Bengals | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Bengals | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…e91cbacked Bengals | 10c | 891.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Bengals | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…f3c1backed Bengals | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Bengals | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Bengals | 12c | 824.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa015…aa0abacked Bengals | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Bengals | 8c | 806.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Bengals | 6c | 804.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.27 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Bengals | 14c | 800$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 42 | 4.8%2 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…e4bebacked Bengals | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…7197backed Bengals | 10c | 769.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b328backed Bengals | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ae…eb14backed Bengals | 13c | 713.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd2…fec8backed Bengals | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bengals vs. Packersthis page
- Bengals vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Packers (-14.5)Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.