NFL · resolved market
Spread: Packers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd481e464bbdcf4e575e0295371db77e5b86a563b514f6a8c6d4f81bd69e28d3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bengalsof Packers, Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Bengals | 55c | 61,794$34,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,516.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Packers | 41c | 42,290$17,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,187.48 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Packers | 44c | 29,577$13,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,159.69 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Bengals | 52c | 28,284$14,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,576.42 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Packers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Bengals | 68c | 15,200$10,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Packers | 47c | 12,500$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bengals | 53c | 12,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Packers | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Bengals | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Packers | 45c | 6,509$2,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.86 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Packers | 48c | 6,183$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.24 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Bengals | 54c | 6,123$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,816.73 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Packers | 49c | 5,278$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.47 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Bengals | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Packers | 45c | 4,468$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.19 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bengals | 53c | 4,404$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.05 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Packers | 49c | 4,245$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.05 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Packers | 55c | 3,139$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.53 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bengals | 53c | 3,032$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.24 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Packers | 46c | 2,862$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.52 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Packers | 45c | 1,737$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.86 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Bengals | 53c | 1,309$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.53 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Bengals | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked Packers | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.8 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Bengals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa472…45aebacked Packers | 47c | 942.42$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.94 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers | 44c | 937.5$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Bengals | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Packers | 46c | 912.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.96 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Packers | 46c | 810.5$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.84 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Bengals | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Packers | 45c | 452.27$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Bengals | 55c | 450$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bengals | 52c | 375.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1b…afbfbacked Bengals | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Packers | 46c | 323.29$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.21 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Packers | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Packers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Bengals | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0102…e4d2backed Packers | 47c | 209.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Bengals | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Packers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Bengals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Bengals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Bengals | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Packers | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…f4e4backed Bengals | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Packers | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Bengals | 54c | 149.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Packers | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…ff19backed Bengals | 54c | 115.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Packers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Bengals | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Bengals | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…ac13backed Bengals | 57c | 96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…ce1cbacked Packers | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bengals | 51c | 81.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3096…1636backed Packers | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…4b8ebacked Bengals | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Packers | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Bengals | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Bengals | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked Bengals | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Packers | 44c | 66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Packers | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Bengals | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Packers | 55c | 53.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bengals | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Packers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Bengals | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b527backed Bengals | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Bengals | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de7…ef81backed Packers | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Packers | 45c | 38.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…74f0backed Bengals | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…f42dbacked Bengals | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 207 | 33.8%70 W · 137 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bengals | 56c | 37.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d83…15ebbacked Bengals | 55c | 36.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Bengals | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…cb3dbacked Bengals | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Bengals | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Bengals | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Bengals | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…401cbacked Bengals | 53c | 22.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Bengals | 54c | 21.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d3bebacked Bengals | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…9da7backed Bengals | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bengals | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Bengals | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Packers (-14.5)this page
- Bengals vs. PackersPackers won
- Bengals vs. Packers: O/U 44.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.