UFC · resolved market
Matthews vs. Prado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52f54a39a7d9538a3236cb8ee92ee5bb4262a989b6b9d35fa8e9778990bc0fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matthewsof Matthews, Prado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0370…d000backed Prado | 0c | 23,415$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Prado | 32c | 20,555$6,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,487.59 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Prado | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Matthews | 66c | 13,810$9,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,695.3 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Matthews | 69c | 12,891$8,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.84 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Matthews | 68c | 12,805$8,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,098.15 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Prado | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Matthews | 66c | 5,400$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…fe87backed Prado | 32c | 4,388$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Matthews | 66c | 3,698$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.41 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Prado | 35c | 2,316$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.13 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Matthews | 68c | 2,198$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.34 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Prado | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Matthews | 72c | 1,469$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.13 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Matthews | 68c | 1,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Prado | 31c | 1,290$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Matthews | 66c | 1,148$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.24 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Prado | 32c | 1,000$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.68 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Prado | 28c | 894.99$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Matthews | 66c | 892.67$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.14 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…6122backed Matthews | 72c | 839.45$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Matthews | 72c | 764.94$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Matthews | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Prado | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Matthews | 71c | 699.55$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.55 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Matthews | 65c | 689.18$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Prado | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…394ebacked Prado | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Matthews | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5861…66efbacked Matthews | 70c | 569.59$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.88 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Prado | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Matthews | 68c | 458.5$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Matthews | 66c | 442.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.99 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Prado | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Prado | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Prado | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Matthews | 68c | 310$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Prado | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Prado | 7c | 299.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Prado | 31c | 299.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.91 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Matthews | 68c | 287.93$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Prado | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Matthews | 72c | 276.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Matthews | 71c | 253$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Prado | 33c | 216.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Prado | 36c | 206.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked Matthews | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Prado | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Prado | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Prado | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…b494backed Matthews | 71c | 168.94$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Prado | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…3fa3backed Matthews | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Prado | 35c | 148$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4e…1370backed Matthews | 74c | 145$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Matthews | 66c | 113.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Matthews | 66c | 110.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…f3d1backed Matthews | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Matthews | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Prado | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Matthews | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Prado | 32c | 88.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed9…8a62backed Prado | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…e1e4backed Prado | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…d868backed Matthews | 67c | 81$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…e75fbacked Prado | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Matthews | 65c | 79.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e4…fd34backed Prado | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a6…0c49backed Prado | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…4112backed Matthews | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Matthews | 64c | 61.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…059bbacked Prado | 36c | 60.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b4…bb83backed Prado | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed Prado | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Prado | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Matthews | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…56bbbacked Prado | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…80edbacked Matthews | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Matthews | 62c | 48.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…20ecbacked Prado | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…63eebacked Matthews | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…f179backed Matthews | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…9455backed Matthews | 64c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c65fbacked Prado | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4008…e415backed Matthews | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…ab52backed Prado | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…80fcbacked Matthews | 67c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…4acebacked Matthews | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f3…f6b1backed Matthews | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…359abacked Prado | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad76…36adbacked Matthews | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…49b4backed Matthews | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Matthews | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…f90fbacked Matthews | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Matthews | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Matthews | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f0…f50bbacked Matthews | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…4df2backed Matthews | 69c | 23.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…5cd9backed Matthews | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eac…a930backed Matthews | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Matthews vs. Pradothis page
- Cong vs. BrasilCong won
- Du Plessis vs. StricklandDu Plessis won
- Jenkins vs. SantosSantos won
- Nolan vs. BorshchevNolan won
- Tafa vs. TeixeiraTeixeira won
- Thicknesse vs. TopuriaTopuria won
- Weili vs. SuarezWeili won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.