CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f522048c03713f7aadd9a7ccfe9b046175297eb9f34fe4dd4a8031026ab9912
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, TheMongolz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,053
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed TheMongolz | 30c | 3,454$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.25 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked FURIA | 69c | 1,908$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.98 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz | 31c | 1,850$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.61 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,695$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.45 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed TheMongolz | 32c | 1,560$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA | 69c | 1,471$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.13 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed FURIA | 71c | 1,462$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.71 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 31c | 1,441$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.77 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 69c | 1,423$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.22 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 24c | 1,416$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz | 26c | 1,121$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.47 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked TheMongolz | 1c | 1,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked TheMongolz | 16c | 881.7$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA | 69c | 673.41$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.81 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed FURIA | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed TheMongolz | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 34c | 571.39$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…d71cbacked TheMongolz | 12c | 513.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…b4e0backed FURIA | 70c | 489.23$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed TheMongolz | 33c | 489$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed FURIA | 65c | 417.02$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed TheMongolz | 15c | 400.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed FURIA | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz | 45c | 368.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked FURIA | 69c | 348.31$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.44 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FURIA | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA | 66c | 302.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed FURIA | 70c | 286.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked FURIA | 68c | 280.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked TheMongolz | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked FURIA | 63c | 164.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.34 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked TheMongolz | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…5351backed FURIA | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed TheMongolz | 28c | 135.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed TheMongolz | 31c | 134.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed TheMongolz | 33c | 130.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…9794backed FURIA | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed FURIA | 59c | 119.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FURIA | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed FURIA | 59c | 101.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0c…8d39backed FURIA | 58c | 100.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…cfe2backed FURIA | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FURIA | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa9…511abacked FURIA | 59c | 98.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 67c | 74.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…5c8ebacked TheMongolz | 44c | 72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed FURIA | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…b5eebacked FURIA | 65c | 70.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed FURIA | 72c | 66.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked FURIA | 69c | 51.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…4df2backed TheMongolz | 35c | 51.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed FURIA | 53c | 50.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed FURIA | 65c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed FURIA | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed TheMongolz | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…cb8ebacked FURIA | 70c | 40.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked TheMongolz | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked FURIA | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed FURIA | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…4322backed FURIA | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…68bebacked FURIA | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…d928backed FURIA | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA | 68c | 34.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FURIA | 70c | 34.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x930d…748dbacked FURIA | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…b0bcbacked FURIA | 69c | 30.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…aacabacked FURIA | 60c | 29.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…8da0backed FURIA | 70c | 28.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed FURIA | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed FURIA | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FURIA | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbad…ba98backed FURIA | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…7379backed FURIA | 67c | 19.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed FURIA | 71c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked FURIA | 72c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.