UFC · resolved market
Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94606110005359f47c27cc4948b7208a888dfb816a9f11530e7744d22340fe36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cannonierof Cannonier, Rodrigues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Cannonier | 27c | 48,358$13,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,224.03 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Rodrigues | 78c | 34,763$27,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,114.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +80%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Rodrigues | 68c | 12,805$8,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,657.37 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rodrigues | 70c | 4,725$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.12 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Rodrigues | 53c | 4,337$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.34 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Cannonier | 35c | 3,663$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.95 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Cannonier | 32c | 3,550$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.99 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Rodrigues | 68c | 3,001$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040.32 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Rodrigues | 65c | 2,724$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.55 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Cannonier | 33c | 2,700$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,797 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Rodrigues | 70c | 2,459$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.25 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Cannonier | 31c | 2,436$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.58 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Cannonier | 30c | 2,300$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cannonier | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.99 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Rodrigues | 38c | 1,905$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Cannonier | 33c | 1,633$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Cannonier | 48c | 1,620$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.59 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rodrigues | 70c | 1,597$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.49 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Cannonier | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.97 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Cannonier | 5c | 1,462$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.86 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Cannonier | 31c | 1,438$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cannonier | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.09 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rodrigues | 65c | 1,213$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.56 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rodrigues | 68c | 1,100$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Cannonier | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cannonier | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cannonier | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cannonier | 49c | 960$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.08 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Rodrigues | 63c | 950.01$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.63 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Cannonier | 35c | 921.61$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.05 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Cannonier | 11c | 805$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.45 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Rodrigues | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Rodrigues | 71c | 669.16$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.51 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Cannonier | 32c | 666$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.88 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Cannonier | 32c | 616.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.7 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rodrigues | 69c | 608.57$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Cannonier | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed Cannonier | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.48 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce4…106bbacked Rodrigues | 70c | 598.51$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed Cannonier | 34c | 590.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.0wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Cannonier | 34c | 584.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.29 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…6122backed Rodrigues | 71c | 571.95$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Cannonier | 35c | 550$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…2ad4backed Cannonier | 33c | 550$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Cannonier | 31c | 538.24$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.38 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Rodrigues | 70c | 522.54$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Cannonier | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bff…7cd6backed Cannonier | 62c | 499.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.06 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cannonier | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Rodrigues | 70c | 388.85$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.2 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Cannonier | 40c | 360$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.6 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Rodrigues | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…a0c6backed Cannonier | 37c | 353.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.97 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Cannonier | 30c | 340$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Cannonier | 33c | 306.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Cannonier | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Cannonier | 31c | 300$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Rodrigues | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Cannonier | 31c | 294.44$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c4…429bbacked Rodrigues | 69c | 288.3$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Cannonier | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Rodrigues | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Rodrigues | 67c | 285.29$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Rodrigues | 67c | 240$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Rodrigues | 65c | 237$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.03 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…941abacked Rodrigues | 70c | 214.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Cannonier | 46c | 210$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.9 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Rodrigues | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Cannonier | 31c | 200$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…059bbacked Cannonier | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…c62abacked Cannonier | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Rodrigues | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa37…7b6abacked Cannonier | 31c | 193.54$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…2820backed Cannonier | 32c | 171.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…80aabacked Cannonier | 32c | 168.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86cf…03f5backed Cannonier | 31c | 161.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bff…e03abacked Rodrigues | 80c | 159.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Cannonier | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…b02bbacked Rodrigues | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…b594backed Cannonier | 31c | 145.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…709cbacked Rodrigues | 69c | 145$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Rodrigues | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…571abacked Rodrigues | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Rodrigues | 65c | 138$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f5…26b0backed Cannonier | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc95…ad57backed Rodrigues | 67c | 126.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Rodrigues | 62c | 125.16$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…f0d6backed Cannonier | 32c | 124.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Cannonier | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…9cc1backed Rodrigues | 68c | 119.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…4b47backed Rodrigues | 69c | 113.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…5546backed Cannonier | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…017ebacked Rodrigues | 68c | 107.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Rodrigues | 75c | 106.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Cannonier | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Rodrigues | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…06acbacked Rodrigues | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Cannonier | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Rodrigues | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Cannonier | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cannonier vs. Rodriguesthis page
- Avila vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
- Bonfim vs. SadykhovSadykhov won
- Bonfim vs. WilliamsBonfim won
- Estevam vs. AguilarEstevam won
- Hill vs. SouzaHill won
- Kattar vs. ZalalZalal won
- Matthews vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- Morales vs. SmithSmith won
- Shahbazyan vs. BudkaShahbazyan won
- Vieira vs. PetroskiPetroski won
- Walker vs. MayesWalker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.