UFC · resolved market
Walker vs. Mayes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73d77c04a7a1a12e5b40c83bda5899507fc7235b1015d9c6a58023123281d485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walkerof Walker, Mayes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $571,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee15…b6dbbacked Walker | 63c | 115,000$72,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,550 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f1…e733backed Mayes | 37c | 115,000$42,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Mayes | 1c | 110,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef38…ae8cbacked Walker | 72c | 24,918$17,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,983.06 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mayes | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Walker | 60c | 4,944$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.92 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mayes | 43c | 4,132$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.35 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mayes | 29c | 2,550$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.29 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mayes | 24c | 2,313$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.47 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Walker | 72c | 1,725$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Mayes | 28c | 1,725$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mayes | 41c | 1,720$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.5 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Mayes | 47c | 1,630$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Walker | 38c | 1,077$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mayes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Mayes | 43c | 825$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.89 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Mayes | 33c | 794.51$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Mayes | 31c | 762.87$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.49 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Walker | 78c | 714.04$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed Walker | 49c | 620.83$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.98 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Walker | 72c | 523$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…941abacked Mayes | 28c | 424.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Walker | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Mayes | 33c | 358.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a23…a9f8backed Mayes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Walker | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Walker | 72c | 327.42$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Walker | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Walker | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Walker | 57c | 276.93$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.47 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Mayes | 29c | 250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 248 | 47.2%117 W · 131 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Walker | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Mayes | 22c | 208.97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Walker | 63c | 199.57$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…b4debacked Mayes | 26c | 160$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mayes | 15c | 152.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Walker | 62c | 147.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Walker | 60c | 140$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Mayes | 37c | 133.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…53c8backed Mayes | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…059bbacked Mayes | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed Walker | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Mayes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Walker | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…4420backed Mayes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Mayes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598d…3244backed Walker | 74c | 85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98de…955dbacked Mayes | 28c | 83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2fdbbacked Walker | 73c | 78.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Walker | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…8581backed Walker | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Walker | 66c | 67.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…ea64backed Mayes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fc…770cbacked Walker | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19aa…02efbacked Walker | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…de14backed Mayes | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…1f61backed Mayes | 36c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Walker | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Walker | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…5bfabacked Walker | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…e5dbbacked Mayes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Mayes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Mayes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf29e…1b8fbacked Mayes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…19a1backed Walker | 72c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325e…9b11backed Walker | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe3…7434backed Mayes | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bb…b014backed Walker | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…780cbacked Mayes | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…8921backed Mayes | 37c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225a…0492backed Walker | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f3…659ebacked Mayes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…9fa2backed Walker | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8050…49ffbacked Walker | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…37d9backed Walker | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac5c…b933backed Walker | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfa…6dd8backed Mayes | 43c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…c05dbacked Walker | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…1d51backed Walker | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Walker | 73c | 27.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…f02dbacked Walker | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4315…9428backed Walker | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14c…17bebacked Walker | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Walker | 66c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…3261backed Walker | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…96b0backed Walker | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…bf5bbacked Walker | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…3d84backed Walker | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9623…d750backed Walker | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…4acebacked Walker | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…81c3backed Walker | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Walker vs. Mayesthis page
- Avila vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
- Bonfim vs. SadykhovSadykhov won
- Bonfim vs. WilliamsBonfim won
- Cannonier vs. RodriguesCannonier won
- Estevam vs. AguilarEstevam won
- Hill vs. SouzaHill won
- Kattar vs. ZalalZalal won
- Matthews vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- Morales vs. SmithSmith won
- Shahbazyan vs. BudkaShahbazyan won
- Vieira vs. PetroskiPetroski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.