UFC · resolved market
Kattar vs. Zalal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0fb5cf9dbcc4f30235afd04cc70fac3b2c5f11633ff8d6f826d9943a366422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zalalof Kattar, Zalal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Kattar | 19c | 15,697$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Kattar | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Kattar | 18c | 5,488$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.83 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Kattar | 18c | 5,435$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.3 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kattar | 20c | 4,050$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Kattar | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kattar | 18c | 2,309$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.68 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Kattar | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Kattar | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Zalal | 80c | 1,744$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.33 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Kattar | 19c | 1,606$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Kattar | 18c | 1,490$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.16 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7455…93adbacked Kattar | 20c | 1,447$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.91 | 195 | 31.8%62 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kattar | 19c | 1,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Kattar | 19c | 1,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7095…3496backed Kattar | 19c | 1,102$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Kattar | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Kattar | 20c | 1,005$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kattar | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Kattar | 21c | 899.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…941abacked Kattar | 20c | 894.74$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kattar | 18c | 861$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Kattar | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Zalal | 78c | 660$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.2 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Zalal | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Kattar | 19c | 530$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…0ef4backed Kattar | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kattar | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Zalal | 80c | 470$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Kattar | 21c | 434$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Kattar | 18c | 360$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kattar | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 221 | 44.3%98 W · 123 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Kattar | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…b596backed Kattar | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…059bbacked Kattar | 23c | 281.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Kattar | 20c | 248.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Kattar | 8c | 247.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Zalal | 78c | 234.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Kattar | 19c | 221$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Kattar | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…db29backed Kattar | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Kattar | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Zalal | 79c | 190$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…8cc3backed Kattar | 19c | 170$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9298backed Kattar | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…a2a0backed Kattar | 20c | 130$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Kattar | 17c | 126.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Kattar | 19c | 124.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Kattar | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…3de3backed Kattar | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…8eb2backed Kattar | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Kattar | 17c | 91.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Kattar | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…126cbacked Kattar | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff5…89dbbacked Kattar | 19c | 73.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Kattar | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…98f8backed Kattar | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Kattar | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…9867backed Kattar | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Zalal | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Zalal | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Zalal | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kattar vs. Zalalthis page
- Avila vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
- Bonfim vs. SadykhovSadykhov won
- Bonfim vs. WilliamsBonfim won
- Cannonier vs. RodriguesCannonier won
- Estevam vs. AguilarEstevam won
- Hill vs. SouzaHill won
- Matthews vs. DelgadoDelgado won
- Morales vs. SmithSmith won
- Shahbazyan vs. BudkaShahbazyan won
- Vieira vs. PetroskiPetroski won
- Walker vs. MayesWalker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.