CS2 · resolved market
IEM Cologne: Spirit vs. MOUZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ffe46999094e96fa1a184df49fa020f692e6293fd42c195b4a08862080e2e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $270,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $270,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfeb9…b34bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 81,542$37,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,827.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…b27ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 46,760$20,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,823.9 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Spirit | 55c | 39,100$21,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,403.87 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Spirit | 55c | 34,697$18,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,773.69 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Spirit | 55c | 20,111$11,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,049.95 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed MOUZ | 1c | 15,780$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.8 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Spirit | 54c | 15,015$8,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,949.11 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 28c | 9,638$2,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,671.14 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed MOUZ | 36c | 6,820$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.51 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Spirit | 55c | 6,429$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.73 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed MOUZ | 45c | 5,810$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.63 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Spirit | 53c | 5,663$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.58 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e2…7b24backed Spirit | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Spirit | 54c | 4,488$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.47 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Spirit | 56c | 4,119$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.3 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Spirit | 54c | 4,040$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f84fbacked Spirit | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…d851backed MOUZ | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ | 1c | 3,208$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,110$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.48 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,034$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Spirit | 54c | 3,028$1,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Spirit | 55c | 3,000$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.11 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Spirit | 74c | 2,974$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.86 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spirit | 70c | 2,368$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.01 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Spirit | 69c | 2,092$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.09 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Spirit | 55c | 2,022$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.92 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Spirit | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,970$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Spirit | 76c | 1,956$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.09 | 135 | 32.6%44 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…3f96backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,933$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,900$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.99 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Spirit | 53c | 1,889$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.68 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…200bbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,886$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.7 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Spirit | 57c | 1,846$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.82 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…d8bebacked MOUZ | 24c | 1,706$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.24 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…0de7backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,656$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,650$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.49 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Spirit | 72c | 1,626$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.2 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed MOUZ | 15c | 1,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Spirit | 56c | 1,431$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.99 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 55c | 1,430$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.91 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked MOUZ | 48c | 1,381$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.44 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,222$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.38 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…a6c5backed Spirit | 57c | 1,218$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,186$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.78 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,133$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,117$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.76 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,102$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.7 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…ad52backed MOUZ | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Spirit | 72c | 1,035$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit | 55c | 1,015$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.61 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Spirit | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed MOUZ | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Spirit | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed MOUZ | 44c | 979.99$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.2 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Spirit | 54c | 921$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.66 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…93acbacked MOUZ | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0471…3255backed Spirit | 55c | 873.72$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Spirit | 54c | 830$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.8 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…a28ebacked Spirit | 54c | 799.98$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…3ea6backed MOUZ | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked MOUZ | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Spirit | 56c | 536.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.04 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…bbcabacked MOUZ | 34c | 526.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.67 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed MOUZ | 29c | 524.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.53 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked MOUZ | 33c | 508.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Spirit | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Spirit | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked MOUZ | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaae…ee3cbacked MOUZ | 12c | 500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Spirit | 54c | 499.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Spirit | 56c | 499.89$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.12 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked MOUZ | 31c | 485.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Spirit | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed MOUZ | 47c | 371.08$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.41 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Spirit | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ | 4c | 334.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 323$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…1218backed MOUZ | 7c | 312$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed MOUZ | 44c | 309.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Spirit | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Spirit | 55c | 307.73$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…57efbacked Spirit | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked MOUZ | 32c | 299.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…2e59backed Spirit | 69c | 288.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.14 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked MOUZ | 13c | 284.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…f6f9backed MOUZ | 45c | 284.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed MOUZ | 10c | 275$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2c85backed Spirit | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc703…2ceabacked Spirit | 56c | 232.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed MOUZ | 47c | 223.13$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed MOUZ | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…fe31backed MOUZ | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked MOUZ | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Spirit | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…957dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.