TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof NRG, Imperial
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,596

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x629c…6c01backed NRG15c16,079$2,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,409.626432.8%21 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked NRG6c13,621$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.3327133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG0c11,083$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.081,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Imperial29c5,954$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,221.444858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+30.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed NRG15c5,912$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.3332425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked NRG6c5,692$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.473,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked NRG23c4,637$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.681,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed NRG21c3,323$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed NRG63c1,680$1,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.1910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked NRG37c1,667$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.2283652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Imperial70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.99988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick67cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Imperial32c1,465$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.1160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x286c…caffbacked Imperial67c1,240$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.552860.7%17 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Imperial51c1,116$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.5810951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Imperial61c1,062$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41420855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Imperial61c1,062$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4141,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed NRG6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603333.3%11 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed NRG39c961.54$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37524846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial49c884.21$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.174,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b4…9f6fbacked Imperial59c789.83$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.834067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Imperial46c692.87$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.321,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Imperial44c685.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.3422560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NRG42c674$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.51,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed NRG39c644.25$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.65,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72c4…cfedbacked Imperial59c588.98$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.987042.9%30 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac04…e9e4backed NRG43c547.31$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.54520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Imperial57c502.62$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.951,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Imperial59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20522554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Imperial26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7815…ade8backed NRG4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-51.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed NRG25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259734%33 W · 64 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked NRG8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…995abacked Imperial63c396.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.682035%7 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed NRG37c387.3$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.39050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Imperial63c380.95$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.951844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked NRG20c358.33$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.381,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked NRG37c355.68$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.166141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed NRG68c323.6$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011746.2%54 W · 63 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b4c…e430backed NRG60c294.35$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.61666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed NRG69c241.06$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.858961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558c…ca77backed NRG65c233.13$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5418265.9%120 W · 62 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Imperial67c219.93$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4335550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked NRG66c214.2$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.948736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Imperial49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0810753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed NRG39c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-71.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77b9…8f95backed NRG17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342035%7 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9024…ce31backed NRG61c200$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed NRG49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ac3…2ab9backed NRG7c150$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%41 W · 41 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98b…7578backed Imperial67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Imperial68c145.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9966753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…f6f9backed Imperial59c144.25$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.451442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde01…b276backed Imperial48c144.06$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.062646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa825…2ef0backed Imperial59c138.97$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9814645.2%66 W · 80 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Imperial74c135.34$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1926563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Imperial40c133.6$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4530527.5%84 W · 221 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1612…9dedbacked Imperial60c117.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5525551.8%132 W · 123 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed NRG30c106.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3211834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Imperial47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3813646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Imperial69c103.16$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3310663.2%67 W · 39 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed NRG63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6322349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Imperial62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked Imperial42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3980…6820backed Imperial35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa59…aacabacked Imperial64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369750.5%49 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c7…d64fbacked NRG38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad65…84e6backed NRG44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4460%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc117…3ed5backed NRG35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Imperial72c99.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.745324.5%13 W · 40 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Imperial60c99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.61,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…2da5backed Imperial31c97.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.263240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bd…9dd5backed NRG44c91.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e08…3d14backed Imperial56c80.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.623141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ad3…1ad5backed Imperial59c67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.475435.2%19 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-44.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked NRG41c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.616033.8%54 W · 106 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f92…983dbacked NRG38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf376…953abacked Imperial25c58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.55236.5%19 W · 33 L+6.9wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Imperial64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6969863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x01d3…9444backed NRG73c54.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce6f…778fbacked NRG50c50.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.245855.2%32 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf72…4893backed Imperial34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.167321.9%16 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Imperial64c34.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5236554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Imperial56c34.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1212256.6%69 W · 53 L+9.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Imperial69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fe…cb49backed NRG73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick54cpaid-76.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41c7…c8fbbacked NRG67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153528.6%10 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed Imperial57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68374.7%62 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Imperial61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.819155.5%106 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed NRG55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0542057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.