Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42a63233fd56f24f93a085951064512453d86769dacbe0d8ce934a5f74f63017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1of Fnatic, T1
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed T1 | 49c | 5,152$2,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,646.42 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fnatic | 41c | 4,043$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.83 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed T1 | 66c | 2,002$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.15 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked Fnatic | 53c | 1,320$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Fnatic | 54c | 876.89$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 40c | 835.75$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Fnatic | 40c | 832.93$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic | 38c | 759.09$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.34 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked T1 | 40c | 608.56$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fnatic | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -15.6wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Fnatic | 51c | 248.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…a33fbacked Fnatic | 57c | 206.66$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked T1 | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Fnatic | 46c | 191.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic | 36c | 177.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fb…3373backed Fnatic | 34c | 168$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed T1 | 49c | 144.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…5487backed Fnatic | 30c | 121.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked T1 | 61c | 115.09$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed T1 | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…9b6cbacked T1 | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…b28bbacked T1 | 47c | 99.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Fnatic | 64c | 81.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed T1 | 76c | 79.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed T1 | 42c | 61.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x680b…276abacked Fnatic | 44c | 57.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…e0cfbacked T1 | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed T1 | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked T1 | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…1be2backed T1 | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…227bbacked T1 | 34c | 39.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Fnatic | 41c | 30.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c89…36aebacked T1 | 49c | 20.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 (BO3)T1 won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.