TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs T1 (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
T1of Fnatic, T1
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,559
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,991

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,559 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Fnatic22c6,136$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.1210743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed T149c5,983$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.7513558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed T152c5,659$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.195250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Fnatic49c5,114$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.19650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Fnatic50c3,480$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.92347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b51…edf0backed Fnatic51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5301136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked T156c2,306$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.961172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb322…2179backed Fnatic26c2,218$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bae…61b8backed Fnatic2c2,059$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed T149c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.996056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Fnatic29c1,889$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked T151c1,298$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.041735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed T147c1,236$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.954060%24 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc60c…3bf9backed Fnatic51c1,053$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic52c1,029$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.1762156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Fnatic50c995.98$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9519655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Fnatic53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7072…abccbacked Fnatic54c923.57$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Fnatic50c909.12$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4553938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic16c794.15$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6679650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked T177c783.88$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Fnatic44c764.43$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+66.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Fnatic56c710.69$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x26be…d699backed Fnatic15c643.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.361030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8161…99dabacked T177c636.43$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed T151c609.84$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.8439042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Fnatic27c607.38$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.995666.1%37 W · 19 L+11.1wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+97.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked T149c575$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+47.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked T145c563.53$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Fnatic25c538.75$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.694542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c81…e258backed Fnatic29c536.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Fnatic53c528.3$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3b…6598backed Fnatic7c499.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Fnatic53c490.57$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed T177c414.19$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.632245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed T147c409.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4712835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Fnatic49c399.99$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.99825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed T172c392.99$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.044755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Fnatic53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Fnatic27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked T173c312.13$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.281060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked T175c304.75$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.192653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Fnatic4c299.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1280%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked T176c282.87$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.412955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed T172c282$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.95650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Fnatic49c272.71$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.5831232.7%102 W · 210 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked T149c265$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.8334847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb29…358ebacked T175c264$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4160…ade4backed Fnatic42c244.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Fnatic50c238.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed T150c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004050%20 W · 20 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked Fnatic50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Fnatic51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849a…c189backed T155c181.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65fd…5dd3backed T173c178.84$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.845100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed T147c175$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.751553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Fnatic48c163.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.811163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed T155c161.35$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.83043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x680b…276abacked Fnatic31c156.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Fnatic65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e2…5487backed Fnatic22c147.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed T167c147.56$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.041850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Fnatic24c133.85$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.81631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Fnatic31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407640.8%31 W · 45 L-14.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xbc65…49d8backed Fnatic27c124.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed T155c120.45$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.641963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ab3…5fa4backed Fnatic28c117.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic10c115.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1739545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Fnatic19c108.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9353355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed T169c103.9$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5814957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68e…663cbacked Fnatic43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Fnatic25c99.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Fnatic52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Fnatic29c95.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.222450%12 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed T169c94.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.579651%49 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Fnatic23c94.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed T148c94.02$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.223148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7982…86c4backed Fnatic49c90$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6feb…74eebacked Fnatic53c89.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…d5bdbacked Fnatic29c89.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.49520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fd…104ebacked Fnatic28c88.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93d1…9daebacked T149c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.633447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed T162c77.29$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5318056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc687…e856backed T176c75.2$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.24100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Fnatic55c74.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.755257.7%30 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed T150c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356159%36 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Fnatic33c60.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x99ad…064ebacked Fnatic50c60.01$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.011770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0424…95ddbacked T152c59.62$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.62683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f67…e109backed Fnatic28c57.93$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…0d33backed Fnatic29c55.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4283…b5dabacked Fnatic55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Fnatic33c50.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Fnatic52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-69%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1fb…3373backed T150c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a0…1be2backed T150c48.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.164060%24 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked T151c47.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.091233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked T146c45.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3722…1f0abacked T175c42.85$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed Fnatic52c42.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.09520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-62.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.