Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6da22b5c915e7ceaff91e6f46dd9d65ad31d4162b6c033e0893dda623ec33f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FULL SENSE | 1c | 6,011$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed FULL SENSE | 10c | 5,435$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.7 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Fnatic | 57c | 3,420$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.71 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked FULL SENSE | 46c | 3,254$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed FULL SENSE | 18c | 2,546$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FULL SENSE | 23c | 2,525$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.98 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked FULL SENSE | 5c | 2,505$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b51…edf0backed FULL SENSE | 15c | 2,200$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked FULL SENSE | 15c | 1,953$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.07 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed FULL SENSE | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…cc3fbacked FULL SENSE | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked FULL SENSE | 20c | 1,208$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed FULL SENSE | 21c | 1,191$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.4 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Fnatic | 67c | 1,038$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf26…d919backed FULL SENSE | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…a1e7backed Fnatic | 79c | 999.62$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed Fnatic | 69c | 997.1$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…d205backed FULL SENSE | 15c | 934.29$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FULL SENSE | 16c | 900$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…378abacked FULL SENSE | 17c | 836.16$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed FULL SENSE | 18c | 797.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FULL SENSE | 18c | 669.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FULL SENSE | 20c | 610$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…273dbacked FULL SENSE | 18c | 584.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed FULL SENSE | 15c | 504.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…9b6cbacked FULL SENSE | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FULL SENSE | 16c | 487.38$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed FULL SENSE | 16c | 449.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed FULL SENSE | 21c | 428.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca47…3ef4backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 400$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.15 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…06b4backed FULL SENSE | 17c | 393.49$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ab…2b99backed FULL SENSE | 14c | 330$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 39cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3c…615dbacked FULL SENSE | 4c | 287.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Fnatic | 70c | 287.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e18…1c85backed FULL SENSE | 17c | 281.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked FULL SENSE | 18c | 279.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Fnatic | 68c | 248.57$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.51 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…7683backed FULL SENSE | 10c | 223.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…15c0backed Fnatic | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5e…ff8fbacked Fnatic | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed FULL SENSE | 8c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…c0eebacked FULL SENSE | 16c | 197.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed FULL SENSE | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Fnatic | 80c | 181.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed FULL SENSE | 16c | 173.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked FULL SENSE | 15c | 155.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…90cabacked FULL SENSE | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Fnatic | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…4113backed FULL SENSE | 42c | 122.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…2f44backed FULL SENSE | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…e039backed Fnatic | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed FULL SENSE | 34c | 98.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked FULL SENSE | 12c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…3110backed FULL SENSE | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked FULL SENSE | 17c | 80.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic | 70c | 76.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 73c | 74.87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FULL SENSE | 16c | 65.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…0905backed FULL SENSE | 29c | 64.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a485backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Fnatic | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df6…1849backed FULL SENSE | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FULL SENSE | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7f…361fbacked FULL SENSE | 54c | 36.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Fnatic | 68c | 30.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…115cbacked Fnatic | 80c | 26.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4e…069ebacked Fnatic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Fnatic | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Fnatic | 80c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…712ebacked Fnatic | 59c | 22.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Fnatic | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Fnatic | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…4544backed Fnatic | 70c | 15.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f4…23d1backed Fnatic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE (BO3)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.