Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a619f20f24205072daae7d9f8a5f6a6a7d5dc66c7898f1610277c028691d1ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69db…283abacked FULL SENSE | 29c | 931.03$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Fnatic | 75c | 531$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Fnatic | 71c | 500.33$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.1 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FULL SENSE | 25c | 485.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Fnatic | 76c | 343.42$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Fnatic | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…378abacked FULL SENSE | 31c | 227.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Fnatic | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FULL SENSE | 24c | 135.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Fnatic | 34c | 103.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.48 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Fnatic | 77c | 94.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked FULL SENSE | 29c | 86.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Fnatic | 36c | 72.09$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed FULL SENSE | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Fnatic | 16c | 70$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Fnatic | 70c | 63.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Fnatic | 55c | 61.8$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 40c | 51.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FULL SENSE | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked FULL SENSE | 62c | 34.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Fnatic | 49c | 31.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed FULL SENSE | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…e5f7backed FULL SENSE | 73c | 27.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Fnatic | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE (BO3)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.