Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x124022e43e564fcfb06568a3406dc6a835490f50b841a771a24aec4a71944f46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked FULL SENSE | 31c | 1,247$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Fnatic | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FULL SENSE | 3c | 985.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Fnatic | 75c | 608$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FULL SENSE | 25c | 560.91$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Fnatic | 70c | 266.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…378abacked FULL SENSE | 31c | 229.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Fnatic | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed FULL SENSE | 25c | 121.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…a54cbacked Fnatic | 76c | 85.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FULL SENSE | 24c | 64.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed FULL SENSE | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FULL SENSE | 22c | 46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb570…25dbbacked Fnatic | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Fnatic | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked Fnatic | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Fnatic | 79c | 17.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed Fnatic | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Fnatic | 75c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE (BO3)Fnatic won
- Valorant: Fnatic vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 WinnerFnatic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.