Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8550780e921c9ddbfdc2e784432409e108b432eb861b7423f8bfd367f2929bb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 18,123$7,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 13,907$8,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.46 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 9,924$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 5,104$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.75 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,827$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.15 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 4,792$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.21 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 4,272$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.54 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17d0…8449backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 3,899$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 3,564$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Natus Vincere | 47c | 3,352$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.41 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 3,333$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 3,119$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 2,737$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,436$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.08 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 2,371$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.12 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,329$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.55 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 2,261$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.32 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,175$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.45 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,870$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.29 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,738$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.12 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,722$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.32 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,651$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,593$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.61 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,539$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.91 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,497$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.76 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,490$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.43 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 1,450$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.99 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…2403backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,280$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,173$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.93 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,124$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,108$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.24 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,066$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,016$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 1,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.15 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 950.13$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.98 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…87d7backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 914$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 748$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 712.11$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.22 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 691.88$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.17 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 596.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0785backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 589$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +213.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 571.65$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09fc…4cd4backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 565$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…4227backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 562$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 560$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 524.85$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…e255backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 521.31$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.31 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 507.94$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…5290backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 501$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 499.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 489.98$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.89 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 479.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.38 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 442.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 435.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee13…0ff0backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 427.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 419.94$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 418.74$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.74 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 402.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.97 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +36%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 399.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 396.9$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.79 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 370.29$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…0492backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 358$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 325.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8da…83e0backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 325$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 322.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 322.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.27 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Tundra Esports | 64c | 319.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…5bfcbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…7fbfbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a5…de1bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 296.57$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a7…e277backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 293$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 291.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.89 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 290$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.8 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 265.59$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.58 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 260.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4e67backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 249.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…356bbacked Tundra Esports | 71c | 228.96$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 221.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 212.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…2357backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 208$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…0cbfbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 204$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 200.98$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…9b6cbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.