Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3259d93856eee8a04f01b0310c5456c8f7a194a548c9e0c168372b762ff9e8d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Goldof Team Liquid Brazil, Shopify Rebellion Gold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,748
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,748 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid Brazil | 34c | 3,824$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.57 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…9c48backed Team Liquid Brazil | 30c | 1,647$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 67c | 1,303$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.9 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…0fc6backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 66c | 756.56$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.93 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 68c | 659.42$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.98 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 61c | 500$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 67c | 480$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 77c | 372.08$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 395 | 45.8%181 W · 214 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 76c | 327.66$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 7c | 258.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 56c | 160$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…e249backed Team Liquid Brazil | 18c | 111.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a68…9b6cbacked Team Liquid Brazil | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d1…a8eebacked Shopify Rebellion Gold | 58c | 86.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Liquid Brazil | 20c | 75.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 71c | 63.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed Shopify Rebellion Gold | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO3)Team Liquid Brazil won
- Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Shopify Rebellion Gold - Map 1 WinnerTeam Liquid Brazil won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.