CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39ff9c4d0d9919b5e504f95aa6700120bbca05a1b71e6620e86efef35c66ce8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof NIP, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $248,207
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $248,207 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 3DMAX | 48c | 39,216$18,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,537.08 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NIP | 58c | 23,031$13,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,335.36 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed NIP | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200.01 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed NIP | 58c | 9,655$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked NIP | 57c | 8,604$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,904.4 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…3d41backed 3DMAX | 51c | 8,385$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 66c | 6,964$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.29 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed 3DMAX | 43c | 6,576$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,733.97 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd30…81fbbacked NIP | 15c | 5,222$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.32 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed 3DMAX | 43c | 5,048$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 4,692$3,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.77 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 52c | 3,391$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.61 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked NIP | 10c | 3,235$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 3DMAX | 43c | 3,010$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed 3DMAX | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…f197backed NIP | 17c | 2,392$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed NIP | 13c | 2,328$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed NIP | 20c | 1,957$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed 3DMAX | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX | 48c | 1,649$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.84 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked NIP | 45c | 1,616$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed NIP | 45c | 1,376$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.2 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked 3DMAX | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.15 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c2…68b1backed NIP | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX | 41c | 1,227$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.83 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed NIP | 53c | 1,164$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.43 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed 3DMAX | 44c | 1,151$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked NIP | 54c | 1,080$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.2 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed NIP | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked 3DMAX | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NIP | 18c | 999.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…407fbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 957.79$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked NIP | 57c | 919.3$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed 3DMAX | 44c | 909.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.8 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…5c57backed NIP | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed NIP | 53c | 900$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888c…e9ecbacked NIP | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c4…cfedbacked NIP | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked NIP | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed NIP | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed NIP | 52c | 572.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked NIP | 22c | 548.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked NIP | 54c | 544.25$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.89 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 48c | 529.99$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.94 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…b34fbacked 3DMAX | 46c | 526.15$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked NIP | 20c | 525$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.84 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed NIP | 58c | 517.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked NIP | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…5548backed NIP | 30c | 449$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked NIP | 54c | 436$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed NIP | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed NIP | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed NIP | 65c | 384.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed 3DMAX | 40c | 366.59$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed NIP | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked NIP | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed 3DMAX | 76c | 287.15$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked NIP | 7c | 255.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 147 | 28.6%42 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…262dbacked NIP | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed 3DMAX | 50c | 248.92$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked NIP | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked NIP | 42c | 239.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed NIP | 18c | 219.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked NIP | 57c | 219.3$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 3DMAX | 44c | 214.77$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…e650backed 3DMAX | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed NIP | 46c | 209.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed NIP | 57c | 208.46$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.82 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed 3DMAX | 70c | 208.41$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…25ecbacked NIP | 49c | 207$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…dd6cbacked NIP | 49c | 203$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3974…cbeabacked 3DMAX | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed 3DMAX | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…3157backed NIP | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ed…96c8backed 3DMAX | 51c | 194$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 3DMAX | 46c | 192.76$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…f6ddbacked NIP | 49c | 190$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed NIP | 53c | 188.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…30e1backed NIP | 49c | 184$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…30b8backed 3DMAX | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed NIP | 29c | 181.83$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a6…edc4backed 3DMAX | 51c | 181$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4efa…6e2ebacked 3DMAX | 51c | 178$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked 3DMAX | 62c | 167.21$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed NIP | 57c | 165.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked NIP | 55c | 163.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed NIP | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…91ebbacked NIP | 64c | 160.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf571…3a5dbacked NIP | 36c | 156$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.93 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50e…1cd9backed 3DMAX | 57c | 154.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed NIP | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed 3DMAX | 46c | 144$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed NIP | 55c | 137.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed NIP | 45c | 132.03$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed NIP | 13c | 121.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -7.3wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…3e48backed NIP | 17c | 116.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed NIP | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 186 | 57%106 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…a2d8backed NIP | 18c | 102.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.