CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca3c0e2d4fe0ab96ec874d50830a9a24015d97bf130841db97e4d4fae9696bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof NIP, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629c…6c01backed NIP | 23c | 10,313$2,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,401.55 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 65c | 8,177$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.68 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed NIP | 23c | 8,150$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.17 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed 3DMAX | 51c | 5,988$3,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.32 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed 3DMAX | 63c | 5,967$3,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.43 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf1…5c57backed NIP | 44c | 4,347$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…b2e0backed 3DMAX | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed NIP | 49c | 4,006$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.82 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed NIP | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NIP | 48c | 4,000$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.95 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed 3DMAX | 49c | 3,011$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,536.5 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed NIP | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed NIP | 49c | 2,640$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.7 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…7b26backed NIP | 53c | 2,483$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.53 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…f197backed NIP | 57c | 2,361$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.51 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 2,328$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.63 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 80c | 2,311$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.04 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX | 54c | 2,008$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.87 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 1,921$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked 3DMAX | 72c | 1,837$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.8 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e42…3559backed 3DMAX | 68c | 1,766$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…f8fbbacked 3DMAX | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 1,294$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.18 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked 3DMAX | 53c | 1,200$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.7 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 3DMAX | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed NIP | 37c | 1,189$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.77 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed NIP | 8c | 1,100$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…3d41backed 3DMAX | 60c | 1,100$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked NIP | 48c | 1,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed NIP | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked NIP | 39c | 973.4$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.62 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7e…08fdbacked 3DMAX | 52c | 939.36$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.82 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked 3DMAX | 55c | 904.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed 3DMAX | 50c | 880$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3d14backed NIP | 49c | 812.24$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…f543backed NIP | 31c | 807.04$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.54 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed NIP | 50c | 760$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX | 70c | 700$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.5 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd781…92a0backed 3DMAX | 53c | 691$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.77 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed 3DMAX | 53c | 668.72$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.28 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed 3DMAX | 61c | 660.62$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.5 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed NIP | 59c | 585.59$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed 3DMAX | 53c | 580$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.2 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed 3DMAX | 53c | 561.29$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.29 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2930…4cf8backed NIP | 45c | 555$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 157 | 43.3%68 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed 3DMAX | 58c | 551.51$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX | 76c | 540.3$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed NIP | 49c | 508.16$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed NIP | 11c | 496.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked 3DMAX | 57c | 449.36$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9556…07dabacked 3DMAX | 51c | 440.2$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked 3DMAX | 52c | 430$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f8…54bdbacked NIP | 43c | 413.06$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.05 | 253 | 50.2%127 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 56c | 403.56$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…556cbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 323 | 52%168 W · 155 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…7578backed 3DMAX | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed NIP | 53c | 390.29$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.02 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed 3DMAX | 56c | 362.5$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72af…84c9backed NIP | 37c | 338.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked 3DMAX | 56c | 333.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX | 80c | 332.03$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d6abacked NIP | 33c | 301.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked 3DMAX | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed 3DMAX | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed 3DMAX | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NIP | 43c | 285.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.61 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked 3DMAX | 78c | 283.16$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.75 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed 3DMAX | 56c | 264.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed 3DMAX | 48c | 239.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…6915backed 3DMAX | 47c | 227.12$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed 3DMAX | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed NIP | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…a754backed NIP | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked NIP | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 198$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 3DMAX | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed 3DMAX | 51c | 184.9$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed 3DMAX | 53c | 170.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…5548backed NIP | 47c | 170$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed 3DMAX | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed 3DMAX | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked NIP | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed 3DMAX | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…d116backed NIP | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed 3DMAX | 68c | 145.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NIP | 50c | 138.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c6…54cbbacked NIP | 49c | 135.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked NIP | 45c | 134.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed 3DMAX | 54c | 122.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked NIP | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed NIP | 33c | 119.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…29d6backed NIP | 9c | 113.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed NIP | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed 3DMAX | 76c | 103.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed 3DMAX | 55c | 100.24$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed 3DMAX | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed NIP | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked NIP | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…b71ebacked 3DMAX | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…c6b9backed NIP | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.