TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c23,148$13,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,535.384,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over14c10,400$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4562227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid+15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Over74c3,500$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,59024147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under54c2,995$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.7790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over43c2,816$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.558853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Over72c2,715$1,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9627553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under61c2,115$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.2925248.4%122 W · 130 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over58c1,255$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.87425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1bbe…6b0abacked Over67c974.23$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Over75c800$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under39c798.29$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.743,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over44c795.07$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9810850%54 W · 54 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under29c553.56$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.038457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over42c427.75$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.2155941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over71c422.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006478.1%50 W · 14 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over75c357.53$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.1512875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c353.08$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.351,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Under26c349$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.261833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6481…b1bfbacked Over72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008170.4%57 W · 24 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Under26c260$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Over74c250$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18524052.9%127 W · 113 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b77…11d2backed Over7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over71c196.05$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.231745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Under26c187$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.382445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over75c186.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409966.7%66 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over41c183.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752740.7%11 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67c5…cab7backed Over55c182.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over58c180$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.45056%28 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Under26c173$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.022157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Over75c162.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.72035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-31.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over62c161.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Under26c156$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.442334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ab…9aa1backed Over66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-68.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3776…73c1backed Over43c146.51$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under26c144$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.563548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under26c136$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.641643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Over75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Under26c133$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.423234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4669…785ebacked Under26c132$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.681040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…9194backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb81d…c6c0backed Under26c118$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.322737%10 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under42c117.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4129946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over68c116.07$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.448433.3%28 W · 56 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…c91bbacked Under26c108$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.924334.9%15 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under26c103$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.221866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Under26c102$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.482259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c101.84$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5542158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.951163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under45c98.94$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.5630743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7a…5a57backed Under27c96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over71c94.9$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3819345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f7…26f0backed Under26c92$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.083240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Over44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0542…7d64backed Under59c88.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Under26c88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.121752.9%9 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+60.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under26c88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.122638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Under26c86$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642536%9 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ad7…f012backed Over40c85.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa49…949ebacked Under26c84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.161241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5017…4daebacked Over56c80.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x914b…a886backed Over75c80$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick62cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Under25c79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.253145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Under26c78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.722065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+36.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Under26c74$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.762240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa910…76cabacked Under27c74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf23a…6eb8backed Over16c73.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…d82dbacked Over74c73$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.021060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over55c72.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6c…ac71backed Over74c72$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under62c71.54$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4315051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c71.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.251,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Under26c71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+81.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under26c69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.061154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa848…78bdbacked Over74c69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2285…4bf1backed Over61c65.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Under26c62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.883557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ecd…b2c0backed Over74c61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.14944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over74c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.78653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Over74c55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Over74c54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fc8…8198backed Over75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405149%25 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over58c51.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea5…e0c1backed Over71c51.82$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe11a…d47ebacked Over74c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.521266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa9…7097backed Over74c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.52742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Over74c48$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.611060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd26c…fc57backed Over74c47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.781040%4 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1436…e23dbacked Under26c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.564254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over75c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bd…8deabacked Over74c44$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.561258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5a1…e6f5backed Under26c44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.561643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…08ebbacked Over74c43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc94d…2b20backed Over74c42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.