La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe68235fa0201b5bbe702d60f68dc4466b096e2b60362642b2505382c4c5271cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 75c | 8,397$6,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.46 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 24c | 8,223$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…b628backed Under | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 70cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 20c | 597$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 354.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Under | 73c | 186$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Over | 25c | 142.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…ff1fbacked Over | 28c | 133$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Under | 73c | 114$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Under | 73c | 103$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Over | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 73c | 99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 73c | 94$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…16debacked Under | 74c | 94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Under | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 73c | 87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Under | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 73c | 76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 15c | 72.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Under | 75c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 73c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Under | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Under | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 73c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 27c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed Over | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2999…50bcbacked Over | 27c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Under | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…b537backed Over | 28c | 40.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Under | 73c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Over | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked Over | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Under | 73c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562c…e035backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ee…2a4fbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64c…34f2backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Under | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…d9c3backed Under | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.