CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb25333d4d2f34a00195e321613e5c65d15b37b944c83a00e26e319aea02ca413
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof B8, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX | 56c | 4,739$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX | 64c | 4,008$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.06 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b10…5548backed B8 | 10c | 2,350$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.5 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed B8 | 19c | 2,128$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed B8 | 52c | 2,106$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x332f…b8b6backed B8 | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked 3DMAX | 76c | 1,864$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.25 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed B8 | 39c | 1,718$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.17 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed B8 | 35c | 1,354$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.66 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed B8 | 8c | 1,100$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…87c1backed B8 | 18c | 1,084$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd9…46d5backed B8 | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…321dbacked 3DMAX | 49c | 711.88$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed B8 | 4c | 653.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed 3DMAX | 54c | 506.22$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.86 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed B8 | 16c | 490$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 45c | 445.88$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.95 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ff…4303backed B8 | 50c | 405.73$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed 3DMAX | 70c | 399.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked B8 | 33c | 369$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed B8 | 52c | 351.92$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked 3DMAX | 50c | 339.48$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.74 | 319 | 33.5%107 W · 212 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed B8 | 59c | 335.36$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed B8 | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…2ffabacked B8 | 8c | 288$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed B8 | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed B8 | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked B8 | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked B8 | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked B8 | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed 3DMAX | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked B8 | 33c | 196.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed B8 | 52c | 193.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 155$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked B8 | 46c | 149.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed B8 | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked B8 | 26c | 117.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked B8 | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked B8 | 21c | 110.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked B8 | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed B8 | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 89.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed B8 | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 3DMAX | 71c | 72.06$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…498fbacked 3DMAX | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed B8 | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked B8 | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed B8 | 35c | 45.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed B8 | 52c | 27.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…48b8backed 3DMAX | 73c | 23.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8f…8bbabacked B8 | 45c | 22.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…07e8backed B8 | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 3DMAX | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3)B8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.