BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f85a3d19c9f8e3759340559c7583bbeaca7bbd0e594a3a56e103e148a2b11b8

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $14,074
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,074 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Champions League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	51c	2,185$1,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.07	1,959	44.1%863 W · 1,096 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under	41c	1,525$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$899.7	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	59c	1,408$830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$830.08	380	43.9%167 W · 213 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	18c	951.09$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.54	1,487	40.3%599 W · 888 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over	45c	666.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over	58c	620.69$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	122	42.6%52 W · 70 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Under	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	95	40%38 W · 57 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	42c	499.95$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.84	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	32c	497.26$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.38	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd94…c56cbacked Under	54c	462.96$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.96	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	59c	408.93$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239.78	594	41.8%248 W · 346 L	-18.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Under	42c	399.97$168 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$231.98	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under	42c	322.74$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	139	31.7%44 W · 95 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…d5e6backed Over	57c	310$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.7	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Over	57c	259.99$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.2	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.17per pick	53cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	58c	258.62$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	31c	203.97$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.9	412	38.8%160 W · 252 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	42c	188.41$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.28	460	48.5%223 W · 237 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	9c	180.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	200	42.5%85 W · 115 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	36cpaid	+35.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Under	43c	157.04$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.04	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	51c	132.55$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.44	394	43.1%170 W · 224 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	43c	130$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.9	591	36.5%216 W · 375 L	-30.4wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	60c	108.06$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.84	294	45.9%135 W · 159 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	74	54.1%40 W · 34 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9372…3b1abacked Under	40c	100$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over	56c	98.98$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.43	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…4aebbacked Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	71cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ee3…9842backed Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.38per pick	54cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked Over	59c	76.27$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	42cpaid	-73%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over	29c	70.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.2wins	-0.44per pick	44cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0cb7…7a94backed Over	58c	68.97$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e22…6f48backed Over	59c	67.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c27…494bbacked Over	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	21cpaid	+143.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	58c	60.34$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	194	55.7%108 W · 86 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Over	59c	59.32$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Over	59c	58.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under	43c	52.65$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.21	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	206	67.5%139 W · 67 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd18b…876dbacked Under	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	52cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over	58c	50$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4359…1260backed Over	62c	48.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Over	62c	48.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	57c	43.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	102	56.9%58 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over	58c	43.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over	59c	42.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Over	58c	41.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.28	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	-6.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over	58c	40$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over	53c	39.15$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over	58c	36.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.44	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Over	58c	35.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.81	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5c3…2d9ebacked Over	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	71cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	65.4%68 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	64cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over	58c	34.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	46.6%27 W · 31 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea1…0d89backed Under	42c	29.76$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.41	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+99.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over	59c	28.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	61c	28$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	293	50.5%148 W · 145 L	+13.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over	57c	26.32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-7.2wins	-0.19per pick	60cpaid	-32%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Over	59c	20.34$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	56c	19.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.74	338	51.5%174 W · 164 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bca…dcaabacked Over	62c	18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.16	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43bd…0b5abacked Under	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5this page
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event