Champions League · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a11e252a8ff9ee244d43fd1e6478dc7dbb09b66c98a28eff974e80cd47c2dfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Under | 73c | 4,588$3,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.76 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 25c | 3,759$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.46 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 26c | 3,620$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.92 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,927$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.51 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 1,420$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.07 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 76c | 877.42$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.58 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 35c | 852.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 35c | 713$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.55 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 65c | 563.45$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 66c | 530.3$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 26c | 510$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 71c | 481.46$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 26c | 372.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9b…ca57backed Under | 65c | 356.92$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 37c | 349.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…65babacked Over | 28c | 195.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 36c | 143.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 35c | 142.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 36c | 132.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 125.06$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 35c | 118.2$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 152 | 36.8%56 W · 96 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 37c | 107.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 34c | 103.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 213 | 54%115 W · 98 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 37c | 46.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 35c | 39.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…323cbacked Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…67c8backed Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 65c | 23.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 74c | 14.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5Over won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.