Champions League · resolved market
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f3e4334f49c7524b8fdb65b11240057cd98dd23acacc328dd9027698048f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 9,317$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.14 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 1,895$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.04 | 600 | 41.8%251 W · 349 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 1,722$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.02 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 1,414$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.89 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 22c | 653.97$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.17 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 19c | 603.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…2f1ebacked Under | 20c | 555$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 22c | 545.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…6780backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Over | 38c | 386.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.4 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 18c | 225$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 217.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 31c | 158.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 200 | 42.5%85 W · 115 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 18c | 112.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 96.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.96 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…4593backed Over | 47c | 86.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 36c | 77.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276f…bfb5backed Over | 56c | 71.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 21c | 59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.38 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 26c | 54.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 401 | 43.4%174 W · 227 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa776…a17bbacked Over | 37c | 52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 77c | 50.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 35c | 50.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 67c | 44.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…5f39backed Over | 49c | 38.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Under | 69c | 30.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 614 | 37.5%230 W · 384 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9a…3d32backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…02e1backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 79c | 24.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 75c | 24.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7279…a05cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…472ebacked Over | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5this page
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5Under won
- BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.