Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30f430a68b35abe902def00c51265a4c4ce220b28edd5a3638b231d66aeed682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof JD Gaming, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x324c…93d9backed JD Gaming | 1c | 1,433$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…4d0cbacked Nova Esports | 60c | 1,268$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nova Esports | 16c | 713$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.88 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nova Esports | 41c | 502.16$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.16 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked JD Gaming | 35c | 461.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.63 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked JD Gaming | 39c | 433.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.9 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed JD Gaming | 61c | 340.49$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.27 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed JD Gaming | 47c | 295.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nova Esports | 47c | 271.27$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JD Gaming | 66c | 175.47$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.75 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed JD Gaming | 62c | 151$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.89 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed JD Gaming | 76c | 128.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked JD Gaming | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d1…6a15backed Nova Esports | 61c | 105.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…41a6backed Nova Esports | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nova Esports | 19c | 96.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nova Esports | 53c | 82$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.54 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22bc…b0b2backed JD Gaming | 67c | 59.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Nova Esports | 38c | 56.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked JD Gaming | 29c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Nova Esports | 50c | 52.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…65c8backed Nova Esports | 29c | 37.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…436cbacked Nova Esports | 52c | 35.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming | 47c | 32.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed JD Gaming | 50c | 27.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked JD Gaming | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked JD Gaming | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked JD Gaming | 58c | 23.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed JD Gaming | 64c | 23.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsNova Esports won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.