Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4245b60e47c02b8c8bb8691a16aecfb83eea30fb8a48b5389eab4dadd8f0858c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof JD Gaming, Nova Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1fd…4d0cbacked Nova Esports | 73c | 2,547$1,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed JD Gaming | 37c | 1,599$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.1 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked JD Gaming | 35c | 591.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.36 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Nova Esports | 57c | 340$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked JD Gaming | 27c | 227.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Nova Esports | 56c | 178.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Nova Esports | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nova Esports | 56c | 127.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming | 36c | 114.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked JD Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked JD Gaming | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked JD Gaming | 36c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nova Esports | 71c | 38.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Nova Esports | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nova Esports | 68c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 PlayoffsNova Esports won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.