TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: JD Gaming vs Nova Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof JD Gaming, Nova Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,477
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,477 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c3f…75cfbacked JD Gaming45c5,777$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.7813651.5%70 W · 66 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Nova Esports56c5,318$2,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,342.828934.8%31 W · 58 L-11.5wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed JD Gaming44c3,467$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.6834857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed JD Gaming18c2,632$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.281,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Nova Esports65c2,598$1,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905.6360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Nova Esports53c2,391$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.822433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x482b…3266backed JD Gaming46c1,717$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.472846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…a6e6backed Nova Esports52c1,555$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed JD Gaming47c1,524$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.3911255.4%62 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed JD Gaming48c911.94$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.87445.9%34 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed JD Gaming24c885.91$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.6446326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x697f…b756backed JD Gaming45c810.09$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.5413345.9%61 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bf…4ba8backed Nova Esports53c759.98$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed JD Gaming33c667.89$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked JD Gaming46c575$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.528955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed JD Gaming46c521.8$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.46732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked JD Gaming45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22524457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Nova Esports54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Nova Esports54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2305149%25 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cf…10fdbacked Nova Esports54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed JD Gaming33c498.84$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.625232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed7a…a656backed Nova Esports45c462.21$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.324040%16 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Nova Esports55c438.19$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3124846%114 W · 134 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nova Esports54c415.76$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.0444342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Nova Esports54c414.84$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed JD Gaming47c412.57$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.913565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Nova Esports55c412.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.919337.8%73 W · 120 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Nova Esports52c372.9$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.3790733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked JD Gaming57c345$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2513759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed JD Gaming30c334.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1342540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Nova Esports53c320.25$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.535034%17 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed JD Gaming49c320.2$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.97342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1cc…3bf0backed JD Gaming65c317.55$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.212755.9%71 W · 56 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Nova Esports54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked Nova Esports53c279.08$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1762856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd755…d794backed JD Gaming46c271.74$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251625%4 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed JD Gaming49c256.86$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8620160.2%121 W · 80 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Nova Esports55c247.27$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.276229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Nova Esports54c224.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.43757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9734…bfd8backed JD Gaming45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed JD Gaming49c202.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033346.5%155 W · 178 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nova Esports55c199.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9936648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Nova Esports70c199.3$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3414729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Nova Esports51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.086446.9%30 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fa0…ead1backed Nova Esports51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked JD Gaming51c194.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Nova Esports47c187.46$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.491,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Nova Esports55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.426750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Nova Esports54c169.53$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Nova Esports54c159.61$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.811,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Nova Esports69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.510159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed JD Gaming48c144$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.1232141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc304…4e30backed JD Gaming50c134.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.09825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-54.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Nova Esports55c134.13$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3622955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed JD Gaming13c126.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0677929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Nova Esports53c122.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.553360.6%20 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Nova Esports59c122.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.521136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed JD Gaming45c120$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked JD Gaming71c112.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6535142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed JD Gaming62c106.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6613456.7%76 W · 58 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Nova Esports71c105.26$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.124949%24 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked JD Gaming48c104.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed JD Gaming45c103.69$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6654342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Nova Esports52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488442.9%36 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked JD Gaming26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9184838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4b5…ecffbacked JD Gaming51c97.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508357.8%48 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Nova Esports52c95.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.797051.4%36 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Nova Esports44c95.14$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6545250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Nova Esports61c94.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.91,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nova Esports50c92$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4619943.7%87 W · 112 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nova Esports55c90.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1327145%122 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Nova Esports49c88.52$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4563652.7%335 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked JD Gaming46c82.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8515842.4%67 W · 91 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Nova Esports50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4018651.1%95 W · 91 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58cc…2296backed Nova Esports55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Nova Esports53c69.58$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.596344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1165…bd0fbacked Nova Esports72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked JD Gaming45c63.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.463148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb691…b0babacked JD Gaming46c62.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Nova Esports52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.711533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94c0…a805backed JD Gaming45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.23850%19 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked JD Gaming50c56.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830652.3%160 W · 146 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Nova Esports58c54.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7926932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7107…7a54backed JD Gaming55c54.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca6…2779backed JD Gaming45c51.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72a…fdc9backed Nova Esports51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Nova Esports55c48.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8960154.2%326 W · 275 L+24.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0ed…09debacked JD Gaming55c47.06$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Nova Esports45c44.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.617653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10e…72a6backed JD Gaming48c40.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.184337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdc…d689backed JD Gaming50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203647.2%17 W · 19 L-6.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-30.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x65b7…3798backed JD Gaming50c39.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018952.4%99 W · 90 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefab…258ebacked JD Gaming45c39.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.864740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nova Esports58c38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.091,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bee…e55cbacked JD Gaming48c36.4$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4718261%111 W · 71 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6936…8f48backed Nova Esports55c36.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.25966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62d6…54e8backed Nova Esports56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.841947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f48…0b0dbacked JD Gaming56c35.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018457.1%105 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…8555backed Nova Esports55c34.67$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a42…6338backed JD Gaming61c32.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208045%36 W · 44 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.