Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eeb2bff6123d596b034661f11ae7ed0350847ecb88b4a78c249bcf6f5141dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Gozenof SK Nebula, G2 Gozen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,049
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked SK Nebula | 1c | 1,679$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked G2 Gozen | 68c | 1,024$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.15 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ae…9e60backed G2 Gozen | 70c | 702$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SK Nebula | 14c | 453.69$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.64 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SK Nebula | 31c | 437.66$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed SK Nebula | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SK Nebula | 31c | 376.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.12 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed G2 Gozen | 68c | 364.6$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked SK Nebula | 40c | 345.38$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…2988backed G2 Gozen | 62c | 344.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked G2 Gozen | 55c | 326.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.71 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed G2 Gozen | 49c | 303.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed SK Nebula | 35c | 272.53$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed G2 Gozen | 53c | 235$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed G2 Gozen | 45c | 231.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SK Nebula | 40c | 231.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SK Nebula | 31c | 213.75$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…239fbacked G2 Gozen | 44c | 212.93$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked SK Nebula | 35c | 194.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 287 | 43.2%124 W · 163 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed SK Nebula | 11c | 183.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SK Nebula | 31c | 175$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed G2 Gozen | 56c | 171.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.29 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed SK Nebula | 60c | 168.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Gozen | 77c | 135.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SK Nebula | 43c | 111.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SK Nebula | 51c | 103.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed SK Nebula | 40c | 102.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked G2 Gozen | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed SK Nebula | 38c | 88.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed SK Nebula | 44c | 87.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8072…c60abacked SK Nebula | 37c | 83.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…3860backed G2 Gozen | 54c | 83.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe29b…7991backed SK Nebula | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed G2 Gozen | 39c | 73.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked G2 Gozen | 50c | 67.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed G2 Gozen | 39c | 64.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SK Nebula | 46c | 64.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked SK Nebula | 36c | 56.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e8…f707backed SK Nebula | 55c | 56.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked G2 Gozen | 64c | 51.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…4eecbacked SK Nebula | 59c | 47.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 176 | 42.6%75 W · 101 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Nebula | 44c | 43.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…9ee3backed SK Nebula | 48c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed G2 Gozen | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Gozen | 61c | 36.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed G2 Gozen | 65c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked SK Nebula | 57c | 35.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed SK Nebula | 38c | 34.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked G2 Gozen | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed G2 Gozen | 78c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked SK Nebula | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed SK Nebula | 48c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SK Nebula | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf852…0405backed SK Nebula | 76c | 30.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SK Nebula | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SK Nebula | 34c | 29.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Gozen | 49c | 26.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed G2 Gozen | 50c | 26.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9122…50e6backed G2 Gozen | 64c | 25.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…29b9backed G2 Gozen | 48c | 25.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c42…c8a8backed G2 Gozen | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed SK Nebula | 54c | 23.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…5df6backed G2 Gozen | 57c | 20.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked SK Nebula | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…83edbacked G2 Gozen | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 WinnerSK Nebula won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 WinnerG2 Gozen won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 3 WinnerSK Nebula won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 4 WinnerG2 Gozen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.