Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcff498e7ac69eaf6eceafdd90fb7ad6e84c70071260dba445e3db49f095bea0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SK Nebulaof SK Nebula, G2 Gozen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed SK Nebula | 52c | 2,122$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.81 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked G2 Gozen | 48c | 942.17$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.09 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Gozen | 47c | 665$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.01 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed G2 Gozen | 10c | 217$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Gozen | 20c | 213$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked G2 Gozen | 10c | 186$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed G2 Gozen | 38c | 171.01$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92df…7a08backed SK Nebula | 68c | 162.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…7691backed G2 Gozen | 48c | 158.16$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked G2 Gozen | 20c | 143.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Gozen | 48c | 133.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…5df6backed G2 Gozen | 53c | 121.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed SK Nebula | 49c | 98.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked G2 Gozen | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed G2 Gozen | 54c | 75.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ef…647cbacked SK Nebula | 56c | 74.63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SK Nebula | 47c | 69.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed G2 Gozen | 60c | 69.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked G2 Gozen | 59c | 65.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Gozen | 52c | 53.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked SK Nebula | 57c | 50.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked SK Nebula | 53c | 46.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cef…dbcbbacked G2 Gozen | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 203 | 47.3%96 W · 107 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed G2 Gozen | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed G2 Gozen | 39c | 25.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed SK Nebula | 48c | 21.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SK Nebula | 58c | 20.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed G2 Gozen | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed G2 Gozen | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed SK Nebula | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen (BO5) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsG2 Gozen won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 2 WinnerG2 Gozen won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 3 WinnerSK Nebula won
- Valorant: SK Nebula vs G2 Gozen - Map 4 WinnerG2 Gozen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.