Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf138e6761c714bcce22d24df5b01dbedb957559c3c33e1b7b8a2dda0369cf314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bilibili Gaming | 4c | 1,819$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 60c | 947.5$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.12 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed JD Gaming | 40c | 739.5$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bilibili Gaming | 10c | 668.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…e1e8backed JD Gaming | 78c | 502.43$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Bilibili Gaming | 13c | 419.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming | 67c | 290.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 276.09$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 254.98$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…5ef9backed Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 251.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 237.66$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.22 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked JD Gaming | 77c | 180.85$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Bilibili Gaming | 42c | 179.39$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bilibili Gaming | 30c | 176.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 22c | 136.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 130$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…5e95backed JD Gaming | 71c | 123.72$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed JD Gaming | 47c | 123.53$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bilibili Gaming | 20c | 95.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 65.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked JD Gaming | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed JD Gaming | 68c | 50.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed JD Gaming | 62c | 42.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked JD Gaming | 74c | 40.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Bilibili Gaming | 49c | 33.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 32.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked JD Gaming | 66c | 31.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked JD Gaming | 48c | 30.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec7…4a76backed JD Gaming | 80c | 30.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed JD Gaming | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JD Gaming | 62c | 29.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Bilibili Gaming | 51c | 28.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 26.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8c…10eebacked Bilibili Gaming | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.