Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa07d03468e710e4be06231a206b6c132a99ae5a7e12e99c1cab16aadc4223f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Bilibili Gaming | 62c | 963.73$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.74 | 396 | 46%182 W · 214 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked JD Gaming | 38c | 623.68$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.68 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Bilibili Gaming | 23c | 197.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Bilibili Gaming | 25c | 196.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked JD Gaming | 64c | 139.83$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.34 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bilibili Gaming | 19c | 139.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Bilibili Gaming | 59c | 130.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Bilibili Gaming | 13c | 129.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed JD Gaming | 38c | 127.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.98 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa940…9bf1backed JD Gaming | 46c | 125.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed JD Gaming | 69c | 113.8$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 107$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed JD Gaming | 66c | 105.82$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Bilibili Gaming | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed JD Gaming | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JD Gaming | 56c | 62.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a9…c69ebacked JD Gaming | 42c | 54.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 52.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming | 40c | 50.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed JD Gaming | 42c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked JD Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Bilibili Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bilibili Gaming | 29c | 39.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked JD Gaming | 47c | 39.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bd…a6c5backed JD Gaming | 40c | 38.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bilibili Gaming | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8e…f256backed JD Gaming | 71c | 33.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Bilibili Gaming | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming | 44c | 25.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed JD Gaming | 71c | 14.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- Valorant: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.