Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa98f7bfcf6f0f6e1cb71755707d4b01fe003ee1cd42977d6f2010845d2eb1323
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Over | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.13 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 5,305$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.21 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 45c | 4,451$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 55c | 2,979$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.09 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 20c | 2,362$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.08 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 20c | 1,260$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…679ebacked Over | 79c | 758.02$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.02 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 80c | 636$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Under | 20c | 447.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 39c | 438.72$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e1…f984backed Over | 80c | 372.83$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 20c | 365.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 20c | 348.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 19c | 306.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0198…37e6backed Under | 20c | 270$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 76c | 261.45$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 20c | 197.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 20c | 197.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 20c | 197.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 20c | 197.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 20c | 195.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 20c | 195.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 20c | 193.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…3e64backed Under | 20c | 177.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Over | 80c | 177.5$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 20c | 165.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 78c | 147.23$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 21c | 144.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 144.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5719…f37fbacked Under | 24c | 121.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 75c | 98.29$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 74c | 88$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Over | 75c | 84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…b79fbacked Under | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Under | 20c | 79.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed Under | 21c | 72.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 68c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 20c | 63.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Over | 59c | 58.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 57.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…9f48backed Over | 80c | 45.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 59c | 34.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Over | 59c | 28.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…288dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 19.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 80c | 14.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…725bbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.