Asian League · resolved market
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a4da16ecffae11c42bbb54394ed48f9ef2d1801643075688bd03e52e83a01d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 26c | 1,112$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.56 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 499.74$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 53c | 418.52$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Yes | 46c | 334.91$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Yes | 48c | 332.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed No | 62c | 322.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 54c | 314.92$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Yes | 51c | 313.73$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 47c | 219.71$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 49c | 182.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked No | 52c | 157.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…a105backed Yes | 49c | 149.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 43c | 138.73$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 52c | 133.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 126.62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 57c | 119.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 57c | 117.4$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 48c | 111.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 49c | 98.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…3092backed No | 56c | 81.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 19c | 73.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 60.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 42c | 52.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bd…af6ebacked No | 58c | 51.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yes | 43c | 37.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked No | 58c | 34.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…509ebacked Yes | 45c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 75c | 19.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.