Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d5fdccdf1207a62ef12b7fa8b1ad120dafc349d77e58dae984d2a9213be0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Najmah Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 47c | 1,638$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.13 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 1,337$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x458c…ee3ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 59c | 1,319$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 43c | 1,301$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.48 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 41c | 1,113$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.83 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 48c | 860.05$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 45c | 522.89$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.76 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 497$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…2669backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 53c | 488$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 57c | 421$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 61c | 415.05$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 385.99$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2508…e25cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 370.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 365.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.37 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 55c | 313.04$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.96 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 37c | 298.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.42 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…d10abacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 47c | 297$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 45c | 259.95$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 67c | 228.2$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.04 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 45c | 218.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 50c | 200.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 53c | 197.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 42c | 186.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 164.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.29 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 44c | 141.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 137.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 44c | 122.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 59c | 93.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 73c | 92.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 42c | 75.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 69.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 49c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 53.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 38c | 52.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 72c | 49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 54c | 48.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 70c | 48.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a2…a105backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 48c | 45.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099c…e42cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 75c | 39.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 45c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 38c | 34.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 47c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 70c | 28.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 67c | 20.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6444…672ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fe…9af6backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 55c | 19.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.