Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc054ec8de30230560f09b965222781e9669e5ce11c0d085090121f470a79ecb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Najmah Saudi Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 42c | 2,315$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.19 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…2993backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 61c | 1,883$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 59c | 1,600$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 42c | 1,320$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.89 | 398 | 55.8%222 W · 176 L | +31.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…2669backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 76c | 926.09$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 25c | 864.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.21 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 75c | 361.94$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 25c | 359.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 77c | 309.61$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 58c | 298.45$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 41c | 279.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.05 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 52c | 270.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…7800backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 25c | 269.24$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 27c | 225.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 25c | 192$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 75c | 192$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 21c | 165.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 66c | 155$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 48c | 145.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 25c | 144.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 75c | 138.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 66c | 121.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 35c | 86.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb7…618ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 56c | 69.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 1,319 | 56.7%748 W · 571 L | +64.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 40c | 68.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 40c | 68.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 40c | 66.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 36c | 64.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Al Najmah Saudi Club | 36c | 64.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 37c | 41.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…1627backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 79c | 34.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 59 | 76.3%45 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Al Najmah Saudi Club | 35c | 29.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…f651backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6a…509ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Al Nassr Saudi Club | 79c | 12.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)this page
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.