NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe82ebfd4f4217396344a141b0e985b0f044b9472c835a3d862fa1bb8d2ec65fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,396 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sharks | 43c | 20,766$8,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,929.27 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 57c | 14,632$8,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,291.73 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks | 43c | 11,389$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897.48 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Sharks | 42c | 10,498$4,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,422.37 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Sabres | 58c | 8,639$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,639.42 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 2c | 8,518$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.91 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sharks | 0c | 8,477$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Sharks | 44c | 7,491$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,295.91 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Sabres | 57c | 6,960$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.8 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 57c | 6,881$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.44 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Sharks | 44c | 6,800$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 56c | 6,313$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.71 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Sharks | 28c | 5,335$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.22 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Sabres | 56c | 5,328$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.07 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sabres | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sharks | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sharks | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sabres | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.97 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sabres | 57c | 3,786$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.02 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres | 56c | 3,333$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sabres | 56c | 3,200$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sharks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Sabres | 58c | 2,980$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.6 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sabres | 56c | 2,964$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Sabres | 56c | 2,833$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.77 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Sharks | 44c | 2,430$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.2 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sharks | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.99 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 57c | 2,298$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.25 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Sharks | 42c | 2,234$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.07 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Sabres | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Sabres | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Sharks | 43c | 1,728$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.83 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Sharks | 43c | 1,703$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.44 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…a992backed Sharks | 3c | 1,675$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Sabres | 57c | 1,580$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.23 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Sharks | 44c | 1,545$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.94 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sabres | 57c | 1,458$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.94 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 44c | 1,406$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.73 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sabres | 76c | 1,249$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Sabres | 58c | 1,224$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.91 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sabres | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sharks | 43c | 1,100$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.92 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 69c | 1,065$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sharks | 13c | 1,007$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.42 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Sharks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 43c | 999.54$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.27 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 51c | 988.62$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.03 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccfe…a96ebacked Sabres | 57c | 957$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.51 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sharks | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks | 27c | 875.74$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.62 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…8c8dbacked Sabres | 57c | 868.51$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed Sabres | 57c | 849.99$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Sabres | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…77e6backed Sabres | 56c | 728.7$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.7 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 70c | 715.31$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Sharks | 44c | 709.49$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.48 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Sabres | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sharks | 16c | 698.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.49 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 57c | 695.8$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.19 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 16c | 683.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…2747backed Sabres | 57c | 674$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.82 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sharks | 43c | 659.4$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.54 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…4857backed Sabres | 56c | 650$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sabres | 53c | 603$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.41 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Sharks | 43c | 580.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.79 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 44c | 569.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.02 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Sharks | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Sharks | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Sabres | 61c | 565.72$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Sabres | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Sabres | 57c | 520$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Sharks | 14c | 511.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Sabres | 57c | 510$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.95 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Sharks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Sharks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Sabres | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Sabres | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…7214backed Sharks | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…b959backed Sabres | 57c | 493$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Sabres | 57c | 477$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.11 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sabres | 56c | 470.29$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1090…5d91backed Sabres | 57c | 460$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…a2ddbacked Sharks | 44c | 460$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Sabres | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…208abacked Sabres | 57c | 432$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sharks | 43c | 421.99$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Sharks | 10c | 411$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8502backed Sabres | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 13c | 397$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sabres | 53c | 363.19$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Sabres | 56c | 354.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.01 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Sabres | 55c | 352.55$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Sabres | 57c | 352$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…5da2backed Sabres | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…5025backed Sharks | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872f…af53backed Sharks | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…8820backed Sharks | 44c | 342.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Sharksthis page
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.