NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a6a1aff2bd6ccc10b948a27abfff9fa09c0524410f0e4548849d35b2ca0d148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,723 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 1,522$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.42 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 635.66$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.43 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Over | 66c | 603.55$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 518.05$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.59 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 66c | 473$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.91 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 53c | 432$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.98 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 52c | 429$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.17 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 78c | 400.03$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3366…27e0backed Under | 35c | 377$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…5d02backed Under | 35c | 340$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 77c | 334$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 47c | 320.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 61c | 274.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 34c | 256$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.69 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 66c | 253$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 252.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.15 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 34c | 243.47$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.69 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab2…7b95backed Over | 65c | 185$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437a…b2c1backed Over | 65c | 178$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…33fcbacked Over | 65c | 131$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 115.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd658…7497backed Over | 65c | 112$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4828backed Over | 65c | 111$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Over | 47c | 95.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 45c | 86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 71c | 83.74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 35c | 71.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 35c | 71.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 65c | 68.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 32c | 55.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 35c | 53.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 33c | 50.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 227 | 59.5%135 W · 92 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 36.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 40c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Over | 64c | 33.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…8984backed Under | 36c | 33.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…ccb2backed Over | 66c | 32.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.3wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 36c | 28.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 77c | 24.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 52c | 20.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 56c | 18.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5this page
- Sabres vs. SharksSabres won
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Under won
- Sabres vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.