NHL · resolved market

Spread: Sabres (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80924825ef4f96b896ae8493d6d8f314d70e493645bce8e7f0c2584cd516623e

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sabresof Sabres, Sharks
Resolved: Mar 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $18,377

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Sharks	67c	8,477$5,648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,648.05	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sabres	34c	3,333$1,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.75	919	45.6%419 W · 500 L	-27.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sabres	33c	3,322$1,091 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,230.48	1,190	50.7%603 W · 587 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Sabres	36c	2,278$820 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,458.2	210	36.2%76 W · 134 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres	36c	1,647$593 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,054.08	868	52.4%455 W · 413 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Sharks	64c	1,110$710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.4	619	59.1%366 W · 253 L	+17.9wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sabres	36c	843$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.52	366	48.6%178 W · 188 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Sharks	64c	725.31$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.2	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Sharks	68c	693$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.24	246	54.5%134 W · 112 L	+9.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Sharks	64c	504.58$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.03	916	53.9%494 W · 422 L	+39.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sharks	30c	504.21$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.52	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Sabres	35c	404.94$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.94	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Sabres	36c	392$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.88	183	44.8%82 W · 101 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Sharks	64c	381.54$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.77	133	48.1%64 W · 69 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Sharks	67c	296.24$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.57	303	48.8%148 W · 155 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sharks	64c	264.83$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.49	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Sabres	46c	260$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	893	55.5%496 W · 397 L	+67.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Sabres	36c	200$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Sabres	36c	196$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.44	253	37.9%96 W · 157 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Sharks	65c	193.86$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.52	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Sharks	64c	154.75$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.04	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Sharks	66c	152.5$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.65	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Sharks	18c	120$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	820	43%353 W · 467 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Sabres	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	150	54%81 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Sabres	36c	98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.72	128	44.5%57 W · 71 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Sabres	36c	98$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.72	140	37.9%53 W · 87 L	-13.1wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Sabres	36c	83.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	540	49.4%267 W · 273 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sabres	36c	63$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.32	1,434	50.8%728 W · 706 L	-10.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Sabres	34c	53.85$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.54	429	48.7%209 W · 220 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Sabres	34c	44.56$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.41	381	47.2%180 W · 201 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Sharks	68c	41.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.26	385	51.4%198 W · 187 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Sharks	70c	28.42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sharks	64c	23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	860	49.2%423 W · 437 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…6562backed Sharks	68c	20.65$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks	67c	18.19$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.11	1,846	57.2%1,055 W · 791 L	+85.0wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Sharks	66c	17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	67	58.2%39 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Sabres (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event